TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa05…fed7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
448
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT16657.2%95 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bloomfield Hills: Moez Echargui vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$14.8
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boissonbacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$23.96
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$13.2
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$4.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Mariabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.33
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Mabacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Jiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watsonbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.37
Etcheverry vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.17
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$7.53
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.22
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.77
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10363.1%65 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)backed Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$44.2
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
First Blood in Game 1?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.69
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$21.98
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+67%+$10.05
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.33
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.2
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$9.76
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.63
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.51
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.82
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.27
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.55
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jafel Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.11
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$205.85
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56.39
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Casey O'Neill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.94
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.81
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.05
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.47
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.27
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.53
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.71
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.42
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$53.47
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.22
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$50.46
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$7.89
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.82
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$106.63
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.16
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$10.92
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$231.41
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$9.62
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.5%+$17.1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+55.9%+$154.73
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+165.9%+$41.48
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.8%+$26.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.82
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$19.67
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.11
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.9%+$37.39
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$32.83
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$135.32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.76
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$19.98
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$159.09
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$13.7
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$67.73
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$60.52
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+123.3%+$193.93
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$315.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+59.3%+$10.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$6.66
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$8.92
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.57
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$20.7
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.94
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.41
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$221.55
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$49.5
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.49
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$36.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+215%+$53.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$24.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$37.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.