AI · resolved market
Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab0212a842896b75005f7b4f291a9bd67e30155e896782cccc8afb8819d23bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,168$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 40c | 3,537$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed No | 62c | 3,504$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 1,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 60c | 1,085$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…14c5backed Yes | 15c | 689.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 625.63$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 69c | 603.57$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 33c | 542.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 30c | 478.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 28c | 476.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 68c | 457$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 453.74$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 420$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2a32backed Yes | 43c | 395.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked Yes | 34c | 345.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 30c | 335.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 9c | 291$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…4758backed Yes | 37c | 272.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 32c | 267$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 262.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked No | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 69c | 239.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 25c | 213$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…777fbacked No | 79c | 208.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 64c | 202.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 78c | 200.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +91%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 32c | 186$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 184.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…0438backed Yes | 52c | 184.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 68c | 181$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 14c | 180.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 31c | 155.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 32c | 155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…b68bbacked Yes | 33c | 149.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 134.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…02f4backed Yes | 28c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 66c | 122.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…ef94backed Yes | 28c | 121.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 119.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 59c | 102.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…8692backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…7a74backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…1f69backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4313…d34ebacked Yes | 36c | 98.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…2ccfbacked No | 73c | 96.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 71c | 84.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…d084backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 77.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 36c | 70.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…5f99backed Yes | 37c | 69.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…da31backed Yes | 37c | 66.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 70c | 63.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd701…6898backed Yes | 32c | 61.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…6a5ebacked Yes | 31c | 60.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…c4c8backed Yes | 33c | 60.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 62c | 58.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…39ecbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 66c | 48.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…648ebacked No | 46c | 46.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 46.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 34c | 43.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 66c | 39.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…8e49backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 68c | 24.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…c49fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?this page
- Will a U.S. government shutdown be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will a major Kamchatka earthquake be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will an Air India aviation disaster be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the DeepSeek R1 launch be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the GPT-5 launch be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the Israel–Iran conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the Liberation Day tariff policy be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.