TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0102…32af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$240.17
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.9%+$5.21
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.57
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.2%+$14.47
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$24.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$284.75
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.4%+$439.41
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+86.9%+$18.6
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$315.46
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$45.57
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+30%+$3.3
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.75
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Will Estée Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.75
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$8.88
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.43
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+43%+$49.5
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+42.3%+$5.49
Will JA21 win fewer than 9 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: DENK vs BBBbacked DENK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked D66 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+43.9%+$12.78
Will D66 win 16–17 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will VVD win 18 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.8%+$34.1
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 18–21%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$141.89
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tech Release Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.28
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37%+$9.25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$155
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44%+$6.59
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.22
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+41.6%+$104.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+38.7%+$9.67
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+67.2%+$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+62.8%+$450.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+41.6%+$52.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NFL Sunday Week 8: Will an underdog win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.