TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $190 in November?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$602,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed No75c44,138$33,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,132.735123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes1c25,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250270%0 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes4c20,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c17,852$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.712290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb32…b646backed No61c16,339$9,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,416.923557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes9c14,305$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.418315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2737…8610backed Yes36c12,593$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.0850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ca…8355backed Yes2c12,037$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9642…d2abbacked Yes6c10,665$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%0 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes3c10,104$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.41382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed No77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+192.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38a…52c0backed Yes6c7,934$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.19647.8%5 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc66…83e1backed Yes25c7,078$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800220%0 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes3c7,018$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1975123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c6,565$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.871,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes1c5,365$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.268411.9%10 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+599.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e77…c4f3backed No70c5,009$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5032680.8%21 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37a0…7f45backed Yes46c4,800$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes10c4,669$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.554231%13 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes2c4,000$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18250%0 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c3,700$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.156728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked No69c3,499$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f8…96afbacked Yes5c3,435$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.15520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87e…264cbacked Yes10c3,400$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes18c3,390$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.324526.7%12 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+197.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Yes30c3,351$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec3…cef1backed Yes5c3,198$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6480%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…83f6backed Yes7c2,853$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9003…92fcbacked Yes50c2,798$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa6…71cabacked Yes6c2,662$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15970%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes1c2,658$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.912270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No32c2,526$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.316761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd575…d2d8backed Yes2c2,500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…e2bdbacked Yes29c2,470$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…1a42backed Yes6c2,435$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes13c2,400$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes2c2,221$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.365411.1%6 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick4cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes14c2,186$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310500%0 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5181…43a7backed Yes3c2,113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes6c2,050$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.011723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008619.8%17 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes12c2,000$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b7e…23ebbacked No68c1,999$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.822391.3%21 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x979d…189bbacked No64c1,999$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.7512100%12 W · 0 L+5.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+139.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Yes51c1,875$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes8c1,757$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5812020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e30…3adfbacked Yes38c1,730$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes36c1,700$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.996950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c86…bb78backed Yes3c1,508$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…58e8backed Yes5c1,350$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5100%0 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe631…cb8dbacked Yes2c1,316$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4aa…8d91backed Yes39c1,309$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.02130%0 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes5c1,302$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.22166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-87.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb34…a1cdbacked No75c1,274$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.042462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x795a…b875backed Yes6c1,264$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa9…38cebacked Yes18c1,232$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes5c1,095$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-86%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3394…c7c7backed Yes39c1,060$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc749…e803backed Yes11c1,014$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.541921.1%4 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a6…0e2dbacked No55c1,002$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.267565.3%49 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001437.7%11 W · 132 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Yes10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13bc…b26dbacked No53c945.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.742161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+51.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2763…7776backed No13c918$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.73633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…a2cfbacked Yes11c910.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes19c863.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605318.9%10 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd86c…98aabacked No58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.044667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1964…5461backed No54c853.03$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+83.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013624.3%33 W · 103 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31df…68d1backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes5c738.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.956417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a99…a499backed No68c731.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.332650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes4c704.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes2c700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed No61c699.56$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.833655.6%20 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+114.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x628c…c651backed Yes6c684.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.034623.9%11 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4e…d2a2backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…ea78backed No60c658.34$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes49c649.17$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.25735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes8c640.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.614621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7f…0380backed Yes7c582$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes36c561$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.122965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x825a…a8e5backed No10c530$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4771100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes11c513.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5660%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c12…93a7backed Yes6c512.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d3…8b64backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a6…409cbacked No70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503773%27 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c7e…ddd8backed Yes6c496.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff6…9386backed Yes13c482.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72c…ff2abacked Yes7c445.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.552931%9 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30f…e731backed Yes2c405.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes7c401.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+69.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2f…279ebacked No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a66…5b1bbacked Yes3c399.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.852937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+23.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9aec…28c1backed Yes4c385.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12190%0 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.