TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0141…c2da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$374.91
Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Solana reach $100 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$446.84
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.88
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$547.09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$276.78
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+87.5%+$139.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$171
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+281.9%+$289.09
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+57.5%+$218.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$379.69
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+39.6%+$54.12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.6
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$807
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.88
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$327.76
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$339.95
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$554.94
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.3%+$113
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$116.5
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+94.5%+$259.06
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+143.2%+$143.25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$23.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$682
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,165.8%+$582.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+79.4%+$591.64
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+639.4%+$1,816
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$700
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$341
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+104.6%+$58.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$169
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+208.5%+$145.32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$27.63
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$8.63
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.97
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$286
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.65
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.67
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$212.5
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.16
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$134.39
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.5
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$61.67
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$219.99
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$176
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37.8%+$327.09
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.37
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$110.94
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$93.1
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$512.22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$62.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-77.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$132
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$13
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$354.72
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.14
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.2%+$68.21
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$32
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$54.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+314.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$185.99
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$84.11
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$52.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$107.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$144.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.