Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab664cd2dacb80a2c397680a7ed814cef422d73244d0920e87028c556e7d078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,213,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,178,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,213,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 78,036$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.91 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 2c | 30,611$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 27,000$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 2c | 22,772$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.89 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,887$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 2c | 17,735$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 5c | 16,897$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,699$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 15,033$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.26 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Yes | 0c | 14,799$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +516.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 0c | 14,368$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…aac2backed Yes | 2c | 14,317$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 13,480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,575$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 9c | 11,463$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 13c | 10,224$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 76c | 10,059$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.65 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 9,985$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…5bb8backed Yes | 0c | 9,775$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 12c | 8,600$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 8,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 3c | 8,177$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 7,495$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…019ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,274$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 12cpaid | +234%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8355…80d4backed Yes | 1c | 6,270$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…1263backed Yes | 2c | 5,728$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…c988backed Yes | 2c | 5,319$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +943.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 1c | 5,075$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 2c | 4,943$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…6735backed Yes | 11c | 4,568$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…abccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,497$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +528.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 5c | 4,124$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…7a94backed Yes | 0c | 3,832$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 3,709$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…eee7backed Yes | 1c | 3,611$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…cbe3backed Yes | 1c | 3,604$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +474.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 3c | 3,553$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 2c | 3,468$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,318$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 2c | 3,286$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…7382backed Yes | 1c | 3,238$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…f344backed Yes | 19c | 3,146$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.65per pick | 19cpaid | +1,105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,016$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…1dadbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 2c | 2,991$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…692fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,982$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +419.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 2,971$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…2772backed Yes | 1c | 2,959$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe716…0d7dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,901$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…503cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,851$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…b3c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,798$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2a…b170backed Yes | 1c | 2,782$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,638$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 2,543$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…8348backed Yes | 4c | 2,378$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…1e99backed Yes | 1c | 2,321$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +351.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 3c | 2,150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8937…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,144$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +792.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…a07dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,135$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,057$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…8a73backed Yes | 9c | 2,027$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…67d6backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +762.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…cd3abacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,985$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,769$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +504%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 2c | 1,737$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 1,683$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…14cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 1c | 1,570$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,536$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…4b74backed Yes | 4c | 1,530$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…3cdfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,491$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Yes | 4c | 1,434$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…256fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…e311backed Yes | 1c | 1,392$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.44per pick | 10cpaid | +801.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,366$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +773.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…11c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,178$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 1,157$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…f886backed Yes | 9c | 1,136$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 25cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,093$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 9c | 1,057$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b81…4754backed Yes | 3c | 1,030$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,002$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb2…1c0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 991.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 973.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 1c | 934.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…5f5abacked Yes | 3c | 931.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 2c | 912.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…026dbacked Yes | 11c | 911.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bc…040ebacked Yes | 2c | 903.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.