Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f1bc416aeefa6085a029a8b1c47278247c539932665f0e50da84bafe7c7cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,341,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,280,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,341,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 1c | 79,268$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.35 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 2c | 41,523$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.31 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Yes | 0c | 33,160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +516.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 3c | 29,855$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.07 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 2c | 28,875$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…4b7cbacked Yes | 1c | 27,248$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 22,321$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…1c5dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +629.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,888$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…40e7backed Yes | 0c | 12,441$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,991$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 2c | 11,667$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…1263backed Yes | 1c | 11,520$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 11,398$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…1115backed Yes | 1c | 10,715$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…78dbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,715$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…57adbacked Yes | 1c | 10,705$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…c63abacked Yes | 1c | 10,705$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ace4backed Yes | 1c | 10,625$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c6…6183backed Yes | 1c | 10,625$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…019ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,705$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 12cpaid | +234%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,501$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 1c | 8,422$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…a146backed Yes | 1c | 7,674$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…2820backed Yes | 2c | 7,660$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…df30backed Yes | 2c | 7,655$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 0c | 7,649$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,524$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…73b0backed Yes | 1c | 7,474$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 6,942$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 1c | 6,689$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 2c | 6,221$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 2c | 5,708$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 2c | 5,634$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,505$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 1c | 5,208$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…1dadbacked Yes | 3c | 5,030$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 5,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,999$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 1c | 4,901$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…692fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,123$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +419.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 3,824$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 2c | 3,738$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…c988backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +943.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 1c | 3,198$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…24a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,881$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…5db0backed Yes | 1c | 2,861$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…a5bebacked Yes | 1c | 2,853$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,745$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…8a59backed Yes | 1c | 2,730$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…c491backed Yes | 1c | 2,726$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca05…d1c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,701$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,624$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d53…9819backed Yes | 1c | 2,509$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 4c | 2,133$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,953$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8355…80d4backed Yes | 1c | 1,816$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…b4bbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,770$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…1728backed Yes | 1c | 1,621$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,591$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,552$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 1c | 1,457$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,431$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…ddf5backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,193$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 3c | 1,184$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 2c | 1,171$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,037$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…4265backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…410bbacked Yes | 5c | 980.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +475.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…71f4backed Yes | 1c | 945$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…87aabacked Yes | 1c | 930$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…c51bbacked Yes | 1c | 905$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…facfbacked Yes | 1c | 899$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…8912backed Yes | 1c | 890$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5d…d1b3backed Yes | 3c | 721.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 2c | 715.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 4c | 627.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…2ababacked Yes | 2c | 579.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 4c | 526.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +641.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7c…acc0backed Yes | 4c | 407.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Yes | 3c | 353.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +164%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…9390backed Yes | 4c | 319.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,186.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…d670backed Yes | 11c | 185.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…b987backed Yes | 8c | 176.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.