TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc001…4b7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.71
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.67
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+435.7%+$244
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.8%+$204.65
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.5
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21.09
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$536.25
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$201
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.4
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.84
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+460.7%+$985.99
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+163%+$186.17
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$330
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$242.7
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+190%+$90.89
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.29
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.24
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.36
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.13
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.64
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,780.95
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,249.61
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$557.16
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.18
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.03
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$70.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$136
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$345.64
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+253.7%+$347.62
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+1,155.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+93.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+354.5%+$70.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+135.9%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.8%+$310.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$174.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+34.4%+$15.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.