Token Launches · resolved market
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd789c9f452583fb9d6308eafe323a4f1b4572582f18c9c63f1c51183e3a5b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $734,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 48c | 30,205$14,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,757.31 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 27,894$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.95 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…32c6backed Yes | 50c | 23,616$11,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,917.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…080fbacked Yes | 14c | 22,782$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…460dbacked Yes | 60c | 20,786$12,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,555.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed No | 33c | 20,286$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.7 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 50c | 15,774$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,893.62 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…d9cfbacked No | 75c | 14,608$10,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 77c | 13,645$10,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…ca8fbacked Yes | 46c | 13,619$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 22c | 10,174$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 69c | 8,500$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.98 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 7,135$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.7 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 41c | 6,957$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.41 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5b…a4abbacked Yes | 15c | 6,506$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 71c | 6,502$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.09 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1616backed Yes | 60c | 6,354$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…f60ebacked Yes | 68c | 5,624$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…7d22backed Yes | 20c | 5,473$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…8c91backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…5341backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…3f04backed No | 42c | 4,723$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,690$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…65a5backed Yes | 55c | 4,645$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…b342backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 53c | 4,415$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.94 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…ce85backed Yes | 28c | 4,370$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 62c | 4,332$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…973dbacked No | 60c | 4,213$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,096$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 75c | 4,034$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 15cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…df61backed Yes | 21c | 4,025$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,900$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 77c | 3,833$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.73 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked No | 78c | 3,713$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 70c | 3,500$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Yes | 65c | 3,427$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…7432backed Yes | 22c | 3,256$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,253$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 15c | 3,047$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bc22backed Yes | 25c | 2,973$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,861$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 79c | 2,841$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…12c5backed No | 74c | 2,698$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 76c | 2,630$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.95 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 60c | 2,516$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.86 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…ba3cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2f62backed No | 47c | 2,491$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed No | 59c | 2,475$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.1 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…3d67backed No | 54c | 2,448$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…17adbacked No | 41c | 2,445$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 61c | 2,438$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.76 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,301$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…c006backed Yes | 74c | 2,289$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 70c | 2,140$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 57c | 2,139$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 41c | 2,062$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.28 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed No | 44c | 2,045$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 76c | 2,040$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.17 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 55c | 2,024$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…f1d6backed Yes | 2c | 2,023$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed No | 60c | 1,991$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…b1adbacked Yes | 45c | 1,971$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,908$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…5558backed No | 75c | 1,870$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 69c | 1,864$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…0751backed Yes | 23c | 1,816$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 8c | 1,812$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…b175backed No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 47c | 1,634$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…740bbacked No | 60c | 1,626$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed Yes | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…751cbacked No | 49c | 1,600$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked No | 48c | 1,580$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 35c | 1,579$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…f00abacked Yes | 38c | 1,527$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…dbdfbacked Yes | 70c | 1,521$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…c7efbacked No | 78c | 1,513$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed Yes | 63c | 1,491$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,490$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 78c | 1,476$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…ba3bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,461$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6981backed No | 67c | 1,450$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…5e11backed Yes | 36c | 1,444$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed No | 43c | 1,433$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,414$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 76c | 1,395$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 76c | 1,350$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.58 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…8b29backed Yes | 37c | 1,346$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed No | 48c | 1,300$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…99f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…86d5backed Yes | 56c | 1,292$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,270$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,268$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 1,256$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?this page
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.