TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08ea…0751

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.19
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.39
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.49
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,360.71
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,507.91
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,059.9
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$152
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$154
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+233.3%+$280
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$214
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$171.9
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+231.8%+$611.95
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+166.1%+$249.65
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$411
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$142.1
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.7%+$502.55
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$90.38
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$131.17
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.84
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$53.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+306%+$146.47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$299.64
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$50.47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$176.68
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$103.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$50.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.