Token Launches · resolved market
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d88cffdc379a2605d149b40aae05223abf0c9704784951f79d84c74bdd70507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked No | 63c | 9,402$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Yes | 23c | 7,888$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 55c | 7,276$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.64 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed No | 69c | 5,127$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,546$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 29c | 4,039$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.07 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 39c | 3,133$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.19 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 2,800$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.26 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…e8a1backed No | 78c | 2,361$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 44c | 2,288$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Yes | 35c | 2,134$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 1c | 2,052$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,920$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.25 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 41c | 1,797$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.44 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…86e4backed No | 51c | 1,766$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f496backed No | 61c | 1,643$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.31 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…6387backed Yes | 44c | 1,376$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…8ddbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,304$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,289$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 66c | 1,282$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed Yes | 33c | 1,176$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.97 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…2a1bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed Yes | 38c | 1,005$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.04 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.47 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed Yes | 30c | 964.87$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 946.07$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…6640backed Yes | 54c | 925.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 51c | 895.85$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f0…8a28backed No | 68c | 886.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 39c | 860.54$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…3315backed No | 75c | 817.84$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…6757backed No | 56c | 706.81$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…b626backed Yes | 34c | 701.4$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…01f0backed Yes | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…dcdcbacked Yes | 19c | 693.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 36c | 689$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…9476backed Yes | 66c | 678.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…78cabacked No | 60c | 650.76$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 66c | 642.22$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…214ebacked No | 72c | 616.01$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 603.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…0751backed Yes | 36c | 600$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 27c | 599.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 599.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 51c | 533.06$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…c26fbacked No | 50c | 524.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.42 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 16c | 523.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…2833backed Yes | 36c | 494.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f1…2593backed No | 65c | 487.95$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…d6cebacked No | 65c | 481.59$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed No | 73c | 477.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…7cecbacked No | 77c | 466.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 68c | 444$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 29c | 432.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed No | 68c | 430.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…db1fbacked Yes | 33c | 428.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 66c | 408.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 405.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 60c | 400$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 47c | 379.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed No | 71c | 371.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed Yes | 41c | 370.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 62c | 357.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…1280backed No | 44c | 336.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed No | 76c | 327.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…0861backed No | 47c | 318.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…dffebacked No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…b3fdbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…f5c1backed No | 68c | 290$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 285.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 285.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…b581backed Yes | 37c | 266.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…777abacked Yes | 38c | 264.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 42c | 263.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd059…448ebacked Yes | 34c | 259.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…e820backed Yes | 39c | 257.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 5c | 254.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…dbc6backed No | 75c | 250.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed No | 59c | 249.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…5db1backed Yes | 26c | 249.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…a4b1backed Yes | 30c | 200.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…9dd6backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…0c7fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…2b0abacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…51dabacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- Superform FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.