TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x185f…3649

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
597
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13918.7%26 W · 113 L-13.9wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-52.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$49.43
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$16.43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$36.07
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+445.1%+$65.94
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$10.31
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$5.5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.32
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$7.26
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT8239%32 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$38.23
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$6.53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.82
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$16.43
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$3.14
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$10.15
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$19.48
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$4.3
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$16.07
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$11.02
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$16.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$9.11
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+390%+$48.89
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+389.5%+$68.62
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$10.86
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+203.4%+$40.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+588%+$152.87
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$20.32
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$7.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$35.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+842.1%+$273.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$63.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+350.4%+$50.63
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$17.2
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+43%+$9.46
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.58
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$10.31
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$41.65
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$38.5
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Yellow FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.02
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.61
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.84
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.74
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$3.59
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$18.77
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$8.94
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.54
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.81
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.61
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+52.9%+$8.98
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.01
Will Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+62.2%+$7.64
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185%+$27.44
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.66
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.63
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.99
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.96
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+695%+$111.37
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+30.4%+$10.34
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+958.9%+$100.67
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+415%+$49.9
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+34.8%+$4.17
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+316.7%+$38
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$37.59
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$6.66
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+268%+$31.66
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.57
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.92
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.87
Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.03
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.49
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$11.36
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$11.66
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$3.93
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.88
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$8.57
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.16
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$36.82
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.48
Will Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
USD - Korean Won exchange rate hits 1,500 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$30.78
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.09
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Will Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.43
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25.3%+$4.05
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.1%+$8.46
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.28
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$6.95
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$59.84
Megaquake by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$5.85
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+280.9%+$34.29
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.1%+$14.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$19.62
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.27
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$17.55
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be at least 40k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+67.9%+$22.01
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.35
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.97
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$20.86
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$10.74
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+76.8%+$11.52
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+106.2%+$16.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.63
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$58.58
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.33
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed Atlas FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$23.37
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)backed CA Boca Juniors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+87.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$18.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+64.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.04
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$16.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota State Bison (W)backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.48
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. New Haven Chargers (W)backed New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.