NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa8d77d55e5c8d931920207c6965d4365c8252096891ccd616466902bce7c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 12,814$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.33 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 11,387$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 8,525$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,884$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.99 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Grizzlies | 10c | 4,152$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.06 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,093$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.22 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,809$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.11 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.78 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,550$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.56 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,542$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,378$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.52 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,338$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.2 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 1,247$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.1 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,190$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Grizzlies | 14c | 957.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.36 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 53c | 912.85$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 863$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.63 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…ae33backed Grizzlies | 16c | 862$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Grizzlies | 12c | 808.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Grizzlies | 19c | 806.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…ef35backed Grizzlies | 8c | 776$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +306.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b5…5abbbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 700$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…96d5backed Grizzlies | 13c | 654$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +232.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…4c08backed Nuggets | 51c | 644.97$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…8814backed Grizzlies | 10c | 623$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +243.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 47c | 611$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Grizzlies | 8c | 562$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…6699backed Grizzlies | 9c | 462$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…98cebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 438$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +338%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…425cbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 438$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,023.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 432.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.96 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 411.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Nuggets | 54c | 401.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…92e5backed Grizzlies | 10c | 385$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…797dbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 385$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…0a8abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 366$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +390.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…86e4backed Grizzlies | 6c | 362$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Grizzlies | 5c | 353.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…7641backed Grizzlies | 6c | 346$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,487.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Nuggets | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 335.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 323.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grizzlies | 17c | 322.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…3ba1backed Grizzlies | 10c | 304$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +930.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…5693backed Grizzlies | 10c | 304$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +417.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nuggets | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…ca96backed Grizzlies | 10c | 288$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +820.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Grizzlies | 48c | 284.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Grizzlies | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Nuggets | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 246.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2dcabacked Grizzlies | 8c | 237$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +220%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…6bbfbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 235$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,198.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8d…cd91backed Grizzlies | 8c | 235$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +410.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…320bbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 229$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 223.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…bdb6backed Grizzlies | 20c | 218$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Nuggets | 55c | 200.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Grizzlies | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Grizzlies | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…fa49backed Grizzlies | 9c | 192$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Grizzlies | 53c | 187.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…791ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 183$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +468.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…e457backed Grizzlies | 9c | 183$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,036.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…0076backed Nuggets | 79c | 178$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Grizzlies | 18c | 175.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…808abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 172$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 169.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…b4babacked Nuggets | 79c | 167$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…c812backed Grizzlies | 9c | 154$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…c309backed Grizzlies | 9c | 154$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,337.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…7bfabacked Grizzlies | 8c | 153$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +549.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 145.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Grizzlies | 44c | 145.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…ae01backed Grizzlies | 9c | 144$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…7be4backed Grizzlies | 9c | 144$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Grizzlies | 16c | 139.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Nuggets | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Grizzlies | 12c | 133.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nuggets | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…c8a8backed Grizzlies | 10c | 127$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +812.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Nuggets | 66c | 126.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Grizzlies | 9c | 122$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7f75backed Grizzlies | 15c | 119.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +557.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1b…702cbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 112$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +930.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Nuggets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…0c17backed Nuggets | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Nuggets | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 46c | 73.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Nuggets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.