TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6825…54f9backed No65c4,233$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbb…cd67backed Yes43c3,856$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48f…57d1backed Yes44c3,856$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22d…a49cbacked Yes36c3,602$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2538…a5c5backed Yes36c3,602$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c08…b9cdbacked Yes44c3,597$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd4…710fbacked No64c3,529$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b55…3ba6backed No49c3,294$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…dacfbacked No64c3,198$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d35…4419backed Yes36c2,743$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889b…c88cbacked Yes35c2,702$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3801…b888backed No65c2,702$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc1…2ef0backed No56c2,525$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfc…20abbacked No64c2,033$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5d…f880backed No49c1,964$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514e…81f2backed No49c1,709$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c86abacked Yes32c1,441$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+66.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f8…f7e3backed Yes36c1,362$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a0e…0204backed Yes32c1,261$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+208.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4495…49e5backed No49c1,129$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c16…b20abacked Yes5c846$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+941.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea5…cceabacked No50c701$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…c5abbacked Yes50c633$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a3…c59dbacked Yes49c595$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+176.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3129backed No51c584$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6464…23e3backed Yes50c574$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cc…6c11backed Yes51c562$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b3…7111backed Yes48c558$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d5…7f8dbacked Yes49c534$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ae…3df3backed Yes51c524$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994f…35dbbacked Yes51c518$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f4…f752backed Yes48c517$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.77425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f7…2449backed Yes49c515$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.14560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+653.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb124…2b3ebacked No50c514$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f7…2656backed Yes51c508$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea4c…f2fdbacked Yes45c506$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78c…ea17backed Yes42c505$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+141%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb14…8488backed Yes39c503$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb882…4be6backed Yes39c501$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f44…e009backed Yes48c494$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d5…af60backed Yes50c487$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x174a…4321backed Yes49c479$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f8…3893backed Yes50c478$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4024…bd26backed Yes50c474$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.94100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+167.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88d6…7ccabacked Yes50c473$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+1,295.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6554…8226backed Yes49c470$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b8…9401backed Yes50c468$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb54…bdb6backed Yes50c467$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+204.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b5…5abbbacked No51c466$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+174.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…808abacked Yes49c466$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.66450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+225.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x918b…5b55backed Yes51c460$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…7bd3backed Yes50c457$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d40…8bdcbacked Yes49c456$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98d…f4d5backed Yes50c455$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8091…9e71backed Yes50c454$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc5…8f0abacked Yes45c447$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97e…0123backed No50c446$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb3…591ebacked No51c445$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+73.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…6a44backed Yes50c445$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ee…3925backed No50c444$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa224…258ebacked Yes50c443$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdc…68a3backed Yes51c443$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…784fbacked Yes20c439$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.45450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+401.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c3b…98c1backed Yes50c438$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828a…3304backed No50c438$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a9c…078ebacked Yes50c435$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…271ebacked Yes51c434$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84bc…8eb3backed Yes49c427$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf52c…648abacked No50c427$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…26cebacked No52c425$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fe…01dabacked No50c417$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b2…c4dcbacked Yes50c417$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cee…3e34backed Yes51c416$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dff…cd01backed No50c416$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd18…0078backed Yes43c414$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca44…e4b2backed No52c413$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…7592backed No50c413$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…a6c8backed Yes5c412$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+663.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…97a7backed Yes5c412$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+881.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e5…1e01backed No49c407$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef48…6eccbacked No54c406$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb2…bd20backed No50c406$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4858…0a03backed No51c405$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x409b…bbffbacked No77c403.06$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.353253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4c…ebdabacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f89…d220backed No51c398$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ae…6a22backed No50c397$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a2…5ab8backed No51c395$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fc…7a9cbacked Yes51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3087…4e89backed No50c391$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cee…8bb4backed Yes39c391$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2045…4ccebacked No50c391$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+826.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b5…456abacked Yes50c391$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b8…2099backed No51c391$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd0…21c0backed Yes51c390$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eed…ea0dbacked Yes44c389$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…6032backed Yes50c385$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bab…083abacked No55c384$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27e3…86f3backed No51c381$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0955…323dbacked No50c381$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.