TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,841 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f2f…be86backed No63c1,999$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.1513357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd1…c7debacked Yes37c1,450$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e9…2f24backed Yes23c862$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+156.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf315…1975backed Yes23c820$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+336.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes40c814.48$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.6976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fb6…e2adbacked Yes22c788$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+350.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8743…946ebacked Yes31c771$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb343…9106backed Yes23c742$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.09425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdac…5865backed Yes19c727$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+420.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2f…7d5fbacked Yes14c719$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+604.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…2b3ebacked Yes23c715$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.41650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4cb…3c38backed Yes23c678$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb3…591ebacked Yes19c665$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+73.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f2…5bf8backed Yes8c654$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+532.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf807…39a9backed Yes19c639$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.31633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c6…0c2ebacked Yes24c610$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+204%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1363…330fbacked Yes32c571$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3862100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+509%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x402e…ec5abacked No67c559$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed9…a8a9backed Yes32c516$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+210.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea3…4659backed Yes31c512$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…44b1backed Yes11c498$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+363%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbf…825ebacked Yes31c494$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+1,408.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf718…61fbbacked Yes30c474$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+235.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc089…0cd7backed Yes23c459$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+98.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes40c450$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f4c…17e6backed Yes26c442$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+287.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf697…e56cbacked Yes26c442$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+287.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6045…f7e4backed Yes6c412$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+543.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…1e78backed Yes23c410$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+336.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x795a…fdd1backed Yes23c410$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+118.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…40c9backed Yes19c406$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc99a…be0cbacked Yes19c406$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick19cpaid+440.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ff…0dd2backed Yes23c403$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+207.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e4…90aabacked Yes23c403$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+119.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e90…4627backed Yes24c400$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+320.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb729…677fbacked Yes21c395$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+99.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c72…51c3backed Yes21c395$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+367.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe968…8625backed Yes23c394$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+121.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24fa…2429backed Yes23c394$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+121.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9e…5aa5backed Yes24c390$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+186%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cdb…dda2backed Yes24c390$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+311.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…b94cbacked Yes23c379$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+119.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4313…26cbbacked Yes23c379$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ff…5859backed Yes23c379$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+473.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x068f…1cb9backed Yes33c378$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…6f49backed Yes33c378$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93aa…c749backed Yes33c378$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+202.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcafe…532dbacked Yes19c370$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+420.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc06b…24efbacked Yes19c370$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+420.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03be…c8d4backed Yes22c368$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc9…a6cabacked Yes16c361$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+174%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79a3…c59dbacked Yes16c361$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+176.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29ae…1b22backed Yes19c358$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b19…e769backed Yes13c358$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+657.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2899…79d8backed Yes21c357$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x365a…88e0backed Yes29c356$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+82.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09cd…0f8fbacked Yes29c356$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…e2edbacked Yes19c352$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+415.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01f…0a8abacked Yes31c343$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick15cpaid+390.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c97…5693backed Yes31c343$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.333100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+417.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb20…09c6backed Yes18c336$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3095…73bbbacked Yes18c336$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2962…6cf3backed No71c331$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…c5d1backed No76c324$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4024…bd26backed Yes19c314$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.714100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+167.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60da…58c1backed No76c311$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b9…d0a3backed Yes32c302$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6629…bd4ebacked Yes32c302$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+70.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e4…ada1backed No77c298$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x462e…981bbacked No77c296$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6661…8c71backed Yes32c295$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick37cpaid+225.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a3d…e9fabacked No67c294$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c2…62a5backed No77c290$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6444…e2c0backed No67c289$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+64.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa479…6e0bbacked No74c287$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc76a…2e2bbacked Yes11c287$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+825.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae6…0a18backed Yes11c287$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+275.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaaf…bb85backed Yes23c284$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+118.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9c…1a5bbacked No77c281$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1,182.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f36…0be0backed No76c280$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4351…9ceabacked No77c275$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc632…e565backed No74c273$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf345…cc9dbacked Yes30c266$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+235.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4037…6d67backed No77c266$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc4…bf1abacked No77c266$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a40…c929backed No70c266$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf734…1705backed Yes28c264$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+462.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2013…7d72backed No72c263$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88e…84f1backed No67c257$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cca…3e33backed Yes29c253$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf616…02b9backed No70c253$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1db…9d2abacked No71c251.43$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb75…9d6dbacked No77c251$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb890…7ebfbacked No77c250$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d2c…0d9bbacked Yes24c249$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f6…b4babacked Yes23c249$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cb…26d9backed No69c246$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5958…c86bbacked No67c244$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…cd7bbacked No68c242$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…1132backed Yes6c242$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,167.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.