TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,322 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40f3…30d7backed Yes15c818$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+240.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ca…ce32backed Yes9c786$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+270.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…2b3ebacked Yes13c781$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.25650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff7…5227backed Yes11c778$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+834.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9abb…beafbacked Yes30c773$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9e…6929backed Yes13c758$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540b…6d2abacked Yes8c755$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,090.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3f…d3b5backed Yes13c742$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+422.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d4…738cbacked Yes15c719$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+580.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6c…14a6backed Yes16c700$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+105.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ff…5859backed Yes14c664$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+473.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85e7…aabcbacked No64c591$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…0f5bbacked No68c538$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…9b05backed Yes9c527$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+461.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…64a6backed Yes12c524$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+319.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…c8a8backed Yes13c515$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+812.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a31…6031backed Yes13c509$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+142.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…bfadbacked Yes14c500$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+344.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf734…1705backed Yes13c490$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+462.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12bd…d804backed Yes19c473$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe538…373abacked Yes51c439$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12be…1652backed Yes10c412$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+296.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc78…b0d6backed Yes16c407$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…8580backed Yes16c407$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d65ebacked Yes16c405$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c5…f267backed Yes16c405$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+541%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b6…96edbacked Yes10c403$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+920.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a6…eea2backed Yes35c400$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f6…d40abacked Yes13c399$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+213.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2479…a837backed Yes13c399$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+376.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb87…59d0backed No58c396$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…96f6backed Yes10c390$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+920.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x330d…e20fbacked Yes14c389$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+325.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f0…72bfbacked Yes14c389$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5121…ca02backed Yes10c386$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd865…afe2backed Yes10c386$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb79f…d2b3backed Yes13c382$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfd…02b1backed Yes13c382$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+681.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb2…bd20backed Yes19c374$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4742…1fc6backed Yes13c371$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x130b…7831backed Yes13c371$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…b90cbacked Yes10c369$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+230%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…678abacked Yes30c365$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70e…6b6ebacked Yes51c357$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2718…9a42backed Yes9c354$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41d…5d35backed No49c354$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c74…b4abbacked No51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc642…d0eebacked Yes50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…090fbacked Yes10c349$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc3…87a6backed Yes10c346$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+890.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c55…f813backed Yes13c345$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+687.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9675…03d8backed Yes51c342$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfa…1532backed No49c339$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa68b…58fabacked Yes15c332$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick13cpaid+237.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…4b24backed Yes15c332$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+575.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dd…1f04backed Yes13c315$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc4…3f4ebacked Yes12c313$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+706.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec1f…ad14backed Yes12c313$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+303.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…7c58backed Yes10c309$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+426.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afe…4946backed No57c288$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x093b…ca96backed Yes13c285$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+820.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaf2…d32dbacked Yes13c285$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+166.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b3…a43dbacked No57c280$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e88…93bcbacked Yes13c275$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacaa…ce4dbacked Yes16c264$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+109.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0133…ac9dbacked Yes13c263$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+464.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e25…2f17backed Yes13c256$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+145.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0b…175dbacked Yes16c254$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd41…2b3dbacked Yes15c246$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+231.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d0…2006backed Yes15c246$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+580.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1def…4944backed Yes10c238$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a3d…7eb4backed No57c237$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…92f0backed Yes15c236.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+231.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b6…7492backed Yes19c206$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.28450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+320.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e96…e35dbacked Yes19c206$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7605…c4bcbacked Yes14c203$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+219.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe334…61fdbacked Yes10c193$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.93450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+875.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac2…2647backed Yes19c187$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9130…f217backed Yes19c187$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41bd…cbbcbacked Yes11c180$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+358.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a9…68cfbacked Yes11c180$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+223.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed20…d0e8backed Yes9c177$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+431.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0a…0c9fbacked Yes9c177$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+525%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6661…8c71backed Yes13c176$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick37cpaid+225.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa324…80a2backed Yes43c175$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307b…b081backed Yes43c175$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x655e…7465backed Yes11c174$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+817.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd656…11d6backed Yes13c173$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+160.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0a…1132backed Yes13c173$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,167.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e9…5444backed Yes13c170$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+206.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7a…2c71backed Yes47c168$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+672.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57e…9b51backed Yes47c168$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe514…d627backed Yes13c167$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+166.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…8680backed Yes13c167$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+210.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf977…8bd8backed Yes10c166$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+459.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fc…3472backed Yes10c166$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+880.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…2a7fbacked Yes12c155$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+257.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad3a…0d70backed Yes12c152$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+168.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad0…a4e9backed Yes10c150$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+453.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf4…2920backed Yes16c132$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.01475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+176.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.