NBA · resolved market
Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7ca7c5e04ba6d95311e0328f02f023b7abd59cf81915c8381c3ce54fc311cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,672 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9406…4750backed Yes | 50c | 4,748$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…beddbacked No | 53c | 3,166$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…9533backed No | 50c | 2,982$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb310…f7fdbacked No | 50c | 2,939$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…9788backed Yes | 47c | 2,557$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…b3adbacked Yes | 47c | 2,557$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…e7d5backed No | 53c | 2,159$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fb01backed Yes | 50c | 1,892$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…81f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,526$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…74ffbacked No | 53c | 1,315$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…2bb3backed Yes | 26c | 1,268$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…ada1backed Yes | 50c | 876$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df9…5110backed Yes | 11c | 844$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…6a44backed Yes | 24c | 823$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…4031backed Yes | 21c | 817$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaee…b74dbacked Yes | 10c | 793$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…b857backed No | 50c | 719$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…7892backed Yes | 27c | 682$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…ce32backed Yes | 26c | 594$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620f…98bfbacked Yes | 41c | 588$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b5…5abbbacked Yes | 41c | 535$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…f32abacked Yes | 46c | 526$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…0afcbacked Yes | 10c | 513$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…6a11backed Yes | 21c | 512$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…57e1backed Yes | 46c | 469$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…a5a1backed Yes | 10c | 466$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66d…c031backed Yes | 50c | 461$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…22b1backed Yes | 26c | 453$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…8b4cbacked Yes | 26c | 453$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…c5dcbacked Yes | 50c | 451$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…4a3cbacked Yes | 50c | 451$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…c721backed No | 50c | 447$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…4251backed Yes | 10c | 445$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…62a5backed Yes | 24c | 443$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…b20abacked Yes | 28c | 442$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2187…711cbacked Yes | 12c | 435$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…9e71backed Yes | 11c | 434$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…62febacked Yes | 44c | 432$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…b4babacked Yes | 44c | 432$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…8167backed Yes | 6c | 425$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…1f8bbacked No | 50c | 417$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbee…3fa0backed No | 50c | 413$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…320bbacked Yes | 50c | 409$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…8a54backed Yes | 46c | 405$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…a63ebacked No | 50c | 404$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374c…d257backed Yes | 44c | 402$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ce6ebacked No | 50c | 399$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…3288backed Yes | 11c | 388$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…1831backed Yes | 46c | 385$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…4495backed No | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…9e78backed Yes | 11c | 384$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…a8dfbacked Yes | 11c | 384$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…8ff6backed No | 54c | 384$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d5…7f8dbacked Yes | 11c | 384$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…ce6dbacked Yes | 12c | 384$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…0123backed No | 50c | 383$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5857…da38backed No | 72c | 382$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…f4d5backed Yes | 25c | 377$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…40c9backed Yes | 25c | 377$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…646cbacked Yes | 25c | 377$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…51f0backed No | 50c | 375$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…c447backed No | 50c | 373$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1533…40e3backed No | 50c | 372$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…492ebacked Yes | 50c | 371$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12be…1652backed No | 50c | 368$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…240bbacked Yes | 6c | 368$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…521fbacked Yes | 28c | 367$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…72bfbacked Yes | 28c | 367$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…4d39backed Yes | 50c | 366$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…4e1cbacked No | 54c | 366$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…2f24backed No | 73c | 362$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4928…dcacbacked No | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fa…2429backed Yes | 17c | 353$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…9b60backed No | 72c | 348$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…8724backed No | 65c | 345$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b0…5bddbacked No | 56c | 345$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…e4b2backed No | 56c | 344$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…7f20backed No | 54c | 341$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…0429backed Yes | 27c | 340$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…a54cbacked No | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…edc6backed Yes | 46c | 335$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…ea9ebacked Yes | 50c | 331$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…b4ccbacked No | 54c | 329$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…051abacked No | 54c | 329$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…fa49backed No | 56c | 328$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…95a2backed No | 54c | 327$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…8bc5backed Yes | 46c | 325$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…eef0backed No | 54c | 322$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…12f8backed Yes | 46c | 321$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0e…d2d3backed Yes | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…0bc5backed No | 72c | 314$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…3ecdbacked Yes | 4c | 314$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…3e4fbacked Yes | 21c | 314$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…0076backed Yes | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd278…a583backed No | 73c | 311$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…f78fbacked Yes | 50c | 310$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…5b1cbacked Yes | 11c | 308$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…72f2backed No | 71c | 307$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…86e4backed Yes | 41c | 297$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…f93abacked No | 72c | 297$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.