TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3ae…3020backed Under54c89,000$48,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,0602951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over46c84,000$38,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,36013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Under55c18,190$9,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,957.7616339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under53c16,252$8,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,663.3977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c8,649$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over47c6,767$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.5113239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over49c6,548$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.31,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under59c2,544$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over43c2,473$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.6118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c2,128$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12850754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c2,094$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c1,904$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.122,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over47c1,787$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.2314346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under4c1,302$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over35c1,231$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.141,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over46c841.75$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5451146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over46c641$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.141,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under25c631.56$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1597337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c515.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Over49c500$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8912737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c485.75$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c479.23$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.991,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c474$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under52c413.2$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over47c355$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked Over47c297.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.761450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over39c250.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.891,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.51,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over48c229.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.177040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over50c229.16$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…0bebbacked Over80c228$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb060…778ebacked Under20c220$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over66c214$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7723539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e2…4e48backed Over80c203$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c192.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc5…3c6cbacked Over80c182$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c6…a5dcbacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045c…f3c6backed Over80c172$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under54c171.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7715649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f71…0b61backed Under20c167$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff9…71d8backed Under20c163$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under18c159.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over41c155.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.721,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…2014backed Over80c143$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…13b3backed Under20c134$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over40c133.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7425840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de9…9dcbbacked Under20c127$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under25c125.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3316338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a5f…e384backed Under20c117$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Under17c110.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.665453.7%29 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under20c103.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.381,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under60c100.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68c…c8b1backed Under14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.163228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5135739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c69…2e8bbacked Under47c91.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.535728.1%16 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under12c88.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.472,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Over53c81.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2917244.8%77 W · 95 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Over48c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9310842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8f…de22backed Over60c74.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under20c61.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.337843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over41c60.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5748740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Over64c57.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.564126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over42c54.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.342,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773b…1b80backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71b…7370backed Under46c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dfd…920fbacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6215347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under50c47.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7623453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc607…bf25backed Under35c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under56c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6516036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Over42c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.525244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4815449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674057.5%23 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f7b…39ddbacked Over53c41.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under39c39.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over51c39.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4122646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Under52c38.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked Over43c37.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2116543.6%72 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Under37c36.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.326850%34 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Under54c34.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.796947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Over60c33.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.735839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over46c32.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.314560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over69c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24dd…12afbacked Over73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-41.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.