NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61576c035392a49c3ee6fd1f4807f166f6496d2faa45f805683120462c883501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,721 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 45c | 16,716$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Grizzlies | 7c | 11,890$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,043.75 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 9,987$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.8 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 9,461$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 8,392$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 55c | 7,481$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Grizzlies | 8c | 7,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,623.92 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Grizzlies | 28c | 6,089$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Grizzlies | 11c | 5,027$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Grizzlies | 57c | 4,919$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.56 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 47c | 3,718$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,396$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 3,264$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.32 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,527$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.32 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,018$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.79 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…ade2backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,000$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,747$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.79 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,743$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.86 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,467$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.42 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,442$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.27 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,301$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,194$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.3 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Grizzlies | 11c | 808.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1363…330fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 640$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +509%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Grizzlies | 34c | 567.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.16 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 535.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 46c | 529$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets | 48c | 524$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…63ebbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 503$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 54c | 500.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6d…017bbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 497$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +683.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…097ebacked Grizzlies | 5c | 468$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +2,033.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Grizzlies | 9c | 458$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Nuggets | 45c | 453.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 435.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Nuggets | 44c | 428.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 424.22$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…91b8backed Grizzlies | 5c | 421$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 401.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 400.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 48c | 399.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Nuggets | 44c | 345.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…6f1dbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 317$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +223.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…cafabacked Grizzlies | 14c | 304$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964a…93a1backed Grizzlies | 10c | 302$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +870.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…4789backed Grizzlies | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Nuggets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…ea56backed Nuggets | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6e…cda9backed Grizzlies | 17c | 291$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…55c3backed Grizzlies | 14c | 284$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Grizzlies | 15c | 251.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Grizzlies | 19c | 250.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.88 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Grizzlies | 13c | 237.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grizzlies | 18c | 232.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1c…4237backed Grizzlies | 14c | 229$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…c309backed Grizzlies | 14c | 229$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,337.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…12d2backed Grizzlies | 14c | 229$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 227.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…5e2fbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 217$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Nuggets | 45c | 214.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Nuggets | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Nuggets | 46c | 209.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…02c8backed Grizzlies | 24c | 206.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Nuggets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 25c | 177.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Grizzlies | 11c | 173.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…48ffbacked Nuggets | 79c | 168$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 52c | 154.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 55c | 145.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Grizzlies | 7c | 144.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 48c | 144.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…bf3ebacked Grizzlies | 20c | 144.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Grizzlies | 16c | 140.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Grizzlies | 14c | 134.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…95f3backed Grizzlies | 31c | 121.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nuggets | 44c | 107.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 105.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf685…65eebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…b425backed Grizzlies | 14c | 102$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…ec9ebacked Grizzlies | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +307.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Nuggets | 47c | 85.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…ed86backed Grizzlies | 29c | 68.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Grizzlies | 16c | 64.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nuggets | 47c | 60.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 55.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Nuggets | 59c | 54.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Nuggets | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Nuggets | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Grizzlies | 21c | 51.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…861cbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Nuggets | 50c | 46.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.