NBA · resolved market
Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1156a21660e716bc18b4d7bfd58a6f673ac5c2e3d027ef33e6db0b9d2800acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,044 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6085…08aebacked Yes | 2c | 862$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 861$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…58c1backed Yes | 12c | 848$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…48cbbacked Yes | 1c | 814$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…edc8backed Yes | 2c | 780$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…1912backed Yes | 9c | 766$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb982…5edebacked Yes | 2c | 760$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…0be0backed Yes | 2c | 752$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ae…7a93backed Yes | 7c | 750$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…b90cbacked Yes | 10c | 674$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +230%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…eff3backed Yes | 7c | 638$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…db23backed Yes | 37c | 582$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…6255backed Yes | 7c | 539$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e6…2a7abacked Yes | 37c | 514$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…7829backed Yes | 3c | 434$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…4e1cbacked Yes | 7c | 398$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…3358backed Yes | 30c | 380$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…c6ecbacked Yes | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a6…e32fbacked Yes | 7c | 375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…ca42backed No | 65c | 369$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…3f14backed Yes | 30c | 363$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 360.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…1fc0backed Yes | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…0c69backed Yes | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…83f3backed Yes | 31c | 356$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e5…86bbbacked Yes | 31c | 356$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…9b51backed Yes | 37c | 351$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…10a0backed Yes | 7c | 343$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…0cd7backed No | 63c | 337$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…a8d9backed No | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…0afcbacked No | 70c | 304$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…1178backed No | 63c | 304$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +854.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…47c9backed No | 63c | 290$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e6…5771backed No | 63c | 278$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1a10backed No | 63c | 271$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…7b11backed No | 70c | 266$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…44fcbacked Yes | 30c | 261$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…4670backed No | 63c | 259$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…7d0bbacked No | 69c | 251$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…0f8fbacked Yes | 30c | 250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…054fbacked Yes | 7c | 234$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…5fefbacked Yes | 7c | 234$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df0ebacked No | 70c | 233$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…f23ebacked No | 70c | 229$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +444.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…f78fbacked No | 69c | 226$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…9a9cbacked No | 70c | 224$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfa…530cbacked No | 70c | 223$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc5…c52ebacked No | 65c | 213$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…7d30backed Yes | 7c | 207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…da66backed Yes | 7c | 207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…5ab8backed No | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…567fbacked Yes | 10c | 199$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…6b9bbacked Yes | 10c | 199$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…9d2abacked No | 70c | 198$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…03ebbacked Yes | 37c | 194$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…7831backed Yes | 37c | 194$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc5…0ccdbacked Yes | 37c | 194$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…80d1backed Yes | 30c | 181$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e76…746ebacked Yes | 30c | 181$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…62d8backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…a805backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…b286backed Yes | 37c | 139$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…b94cbacked Yes | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…1b4cbacked Yes | 18c | 85.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…b558backed Yes | 37c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1533…40e3backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…dab9backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.