NBA · resolved market
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7158ef012f4ac4414e1b35903d019f012f5b3d575885d000c2407500ac0a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,717 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35f8…f7e3backed No | 53c | 4,590$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…4433backed Yes | 52c | 4,590$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…57d1backed Yes | 51c | 2,885$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…3959backed Yes | 51c | 1,705$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…e01fbacked No | 49c | 1,530$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b5…3951backed No | 49c | 1,530$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…9749backed No | 49c | 1,530$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bd…b789backed Yes | 45c | 1,031$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…6cf3backed Yes | 50c | 967$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…ae33backed No | 50c | 584$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…7499backed Yes | 50c | 583$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…516bbacked No | 51c | 567$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b3afbacked No | 50c | 543$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…3ef5backed Yes | 49c | 493$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…5779backed Yes | 50c | 489$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +553.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…83e3backed Yes | 51c | 484$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…e145backed Yes | 51c | 473$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…1766backed Yes | 50c | 467$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…1e01backed Yes | 51c | 466$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…ce6dbacked Yes | 50c | 454$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…3543backed No | 50c | 450$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…97e7backed Yes | 50c | 450$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…2f24backed No | 49c | 447$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…a6c8backed No | 49c | 446$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +663.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8595backed No | 50c | 445$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +559.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…2e12backed No | 49c | 443$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…e073backed Yes | 50c | 438$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…95e1backed Yes | 51c | 428$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c2…038ebacked Yes | 49c | 423$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864d…95babacked No | 50c | 411$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…1079backed Yes | 51c | 411$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…c38abacked Yes | 50c | 409$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba33…d3c3backed No | 48c | 409$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…d48cbacked No | 51c | 409$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…36eebacked No | 50c | 408$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…7d70backed Yes | 50c | 406$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…4930backed No | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…50f9backed Yes | 51c | 403$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…345fbacked Yes | 52c | 402$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…3fc2backed No | 48c | 402$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…2bb4backed Yes | 51c | 398$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…01efbacked No | 49c | 395$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…ca56backed Yes | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614c…140abacked Yes | 6c | 391$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…784fbacked Yes | 47c | 387$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +401.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…8c4cbacked No | 59c | 384$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…a971backed No | 49c | 384$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…9699backed No | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e5…209fbacked No | 49c | 374$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…6255backed Yes | 49c | 372$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…febabacked No | 49c | 367$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…d4dbbacked Yes | 50c | 365$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…f51ebacked Yes | 51c | 361$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…835bbacked No | 49c | 357$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…88e0backed No | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…73d8backed Yes | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…8df8backed Yes | 50c | 354$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…fb89backed Yes | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…8280backed Yes | 5c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…8c71backed No | 53c | 346$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 37cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaee…b74dbacked Yes | 51c | 345$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…43c6backed Yes | 49c | 342$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…3f4fbacked Yes | 49c | 341$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2242…0b12backed Yes | 51c | 340$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…6620backed Yes | 51c | 339$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…5375backed Yes | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…2745backed Yes | 49c | 332$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…73cfbacked Yes | 49c | 332$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…5b1cbacked No | 49c | 331$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…f92bbacked No | 49c | 330$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…8411backed No | 49c | 327$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…e8d1backed No | 49c | 326$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…89b0backed No | 51c | 326$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…978ebacked No | 49c | 325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…a3b0backed No | 50c | 324$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…75f8backed Yes | 49c | 323$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…9f2bbacked Yes | 49c | 323$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…88dfbacked Yes | 50c | 317$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…4a92backed No | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…22f9backed No | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2920backed No | 50c | 316$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…6a85backed No | 50c | 310$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…1e8abacked Yes | 5c | 309$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…7ab4backed Yes | 49c | 305$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…d11dbacked Yes | 51c | 303$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…55f3backed No | 71c | 295$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…0a18backed No | 50c | 292$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +275.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…d47dbacked No | 49c | 288$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…090fbacked Yes | 5c | 287$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…d32dbacked Yes | 5c | 287$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cee…3e34backed Yes | 68c | 286$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…6574backed No | 51c | 283$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…ed34backed No | 51c | 282$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828a…3304backed Yes | 51c | 282$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…ea2fbacked Yes | 51c | 282$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…9492backed Yes | 51c | 277$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…207ebacked Yes | 51c | 276$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…4ce9backed No | 51c | 276$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6d…4b2bbacked No | 49c | 272$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6c…4a35backed No | 49c | 272$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.