NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1cd69d04f555534decf0961580c145e3b2ecd640b6cb5f3b103b015a06693f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,839,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,839,456 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 44c | 191,000$84,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,859.58 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 132,932$79,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,802.2 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 57c | 129,888$73,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,520.76 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 67c | 102,763$68,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,970.22 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 42c | 99,428$42,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,133.74 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Nuggets | 59c | 85,600$50,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,504 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5cebbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 85,600$35,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,504 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 74c | 80,000$58,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,983.49 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Nuggets | 48c | 79,421$38,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,433.91 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nuggets | 61c | 76,056$46,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,628.16 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Grizzlies | 56c | 73,294$41,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,249.5 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 68,478$30,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,304.7 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nuggets | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Nuggets | 64c | 48,597$30,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,915.96 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nuggets | 37c | 45,898$16,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,808.38 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Nuggets | 5c | 40,734$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.88 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 36c | 38,973$13,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,056.42 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Nuggets | 38c | 38,370$14,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,597.98 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies | 14c | 36,968$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,646.39 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Nuggets | 15c | 35,523$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.44 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 13c | 35,000$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,294.66 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 34,730$18,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,663.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Grizzlies | 64c | 32,462$20,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,524.65 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 32,281$17,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,412.5 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 43c | 31,125$13,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,846.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Grizzlies | 17c | 29,434$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,430.38 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Grizzlies | 30c | 29,088$8,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,432.53 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 29,073$20,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 77c | 29,022$22,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,338.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 51c | 27,386$13,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,509.43 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 33c | 25,924$8,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,485.43 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 47c | 25,000$11,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,215.11 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Grizzlies | 56c | 22,012$12,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.14 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 52c | 20,923$10,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,084.33 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12a6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 20,488$10,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,969.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 20,141$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,141.24 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 19,598$11,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 63c | 19,366$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 19,000$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,769.97 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Nuggets | 59c | 18,576$10,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,958.6 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 18,570$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,155.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 18,481$12,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,893.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Nuggets | 48c | 17,567$8,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,392.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets | 1c | 17,517$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 14c | 17,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,049.8 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Grizzlies | 52c | 17,428$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,384.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Nuggets | 35c | 17,244$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Grizzlies | 36c | 16,881$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,759.9 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Nuggets | 50c | 16,015$8,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,044.47 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Nuggets | 74c | 15,727$11,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,655 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…f524backed Nuggets | 51c | 15,727$8,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,058.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 59c | 15,653$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,233.74 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 63c | 15,418$9,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.75 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 15,394$7,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,630.75 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Nuggets | 7c | 14,302$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Grizzlies | 40c | 14,295$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,525.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 14,231$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,231.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Grizzlies | 60c | 13,850$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Grizzlies | 64c | 13,757$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.65 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 60c | 12,920$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,772.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 12,826$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,806.3 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Nuggets | 47c | 12,527$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.09 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Grizzlies | 61c | 12,496$7,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.62 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 54c | 12,485$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.92 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 12,342$6,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.68 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Grizzlies | 54c | 12,298$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.8 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 12,141$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.67 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Grizzlies | 30c | 11,921$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,321.62 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets | 33c | 11,556$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nuggets | 69c | 11,349$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.23 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Grizzlies | 19c | 10,699$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,664.96 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 10,577$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Nuggets | 4c | 10,344$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.64 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 10,169$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.49 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,136$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.06 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 55c | 10,111$5,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.83 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 51c | 10,000$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.85 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.94 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nuggets | 59c | 9,602$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.83 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 9,601$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.27 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Grizzlies | 53c | 9,400$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.99 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 26c | 9,206$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.77 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…ade2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 9,164$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,985.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Nuggets | 7c | 9,150$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.37 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Grizzlies | 59c | 9,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Grizzlies | 58c | 8,405$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.9 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,087$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 42c | 8,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.99 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Nuggets | 40c | 7,990$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Nuggets | 42c | 7,950$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.66 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Grizzlies | 63c | 7,688$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.63 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…86afbacked Nuggets | 68c | 7,676$5,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.91 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 7,447$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.36 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 71c | 7,329$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.43 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 7,269$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.52 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies | 14c | 7,022$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.13 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Nuggets | 66c | 7,000$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.68 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Nuggets | 44c | 6,767$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.48 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Grizzlies | 51c | 6,680$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.