NBA · resolved market
Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1631f692d82b150293d50eabc8f3c9beba8560a8971c4209118c422d69bf48ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 49c | 1,481$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.49 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.93 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…1456backed Yes | 39c | 1,248$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…0136backed Yes | 24c | 973$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb27…b7c3backed Yes | 5c | 768$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…a8dfbacked Yes | 7c | 754$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…e4b2backed Yes | 3c | 701$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…5cd5backed Yes | 39c | 622$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…634bbacked No | 64c | 571$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…029cbacked Yes | 38c | 558$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…ab25backed Yes | 3c | 548$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3a…0d70backed Yes | 3c | 522$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b8…9401backed Yes | 38c | 517$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…fdf2backed Yes | 39c | 510$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…122dbacked Yes | 52c | 502$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048d…2887backed No | 63c | 495$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…7db7backed Yes | 4c | 494$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…8ee4backed Yes | 52c | 481$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…f48cbacked No | 55c | 480$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…63d2backed Yes | 45c | 460$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…2ed0backed No | 52c | 460$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…6c11backed No | 49c | 460$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d2…fdaebacked Yes | 42c | 457$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…1c6dbacked Yes | 48c | 450$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…5f19backed Yes | 45c | 446$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…2a54backed Yes | 39c | 430$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…24e6backed Yes | 39c | 430$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…28fabacked Yes | 45c | 427$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…2cdabacked No | 55c | 426$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…7b51backed Yes | 33c | 423$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…fe74backed Yes | 33c | 423$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…3e98backed No | 49c | 418$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…766abacked Yes | 6c | 410$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…6237backed Yes | 59c | 403$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…7eb7backed Yes | 44c | 397$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639a…a151backed Yes | 44c | 397$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba33…d3c3backed No | 56c | 393$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…c373backed No | 55c | 391$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…d48cbacked No | 56c | 389$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…a578backed Yes | 5c | 384$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…9c13backed Yes | 5c | 384$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…2984backed Yes | 4c | 384$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…b558backed Yes | 25c | 378$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…53b5backed Yes | 5c | 374$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…2dbcbacked Yes | 25c | 371.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…5201backed Yes | 58c | 371$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…ebf0backed Yes | 3c | 366$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…8eb3backed No | 61c | 365$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…bae7backed Yes | 8c | 363$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…0b6abacked Yes | 8c | 363$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38de…2d17backed No | 55c | 361$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…f5e2backed Yes | 53c | 359$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…d40abacked No | 58c | 353$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12be…1652backed Yes | 3c | 352$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e191backed Yes | 3c | 349$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…ae20backed No | 61c | 349$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed No | 73c | 337.37$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…55f5backed No | 63c | 337$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…8814backed Yes | 53c | 336$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +243.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…5850backed No | 61c | 332$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…f60dbacked Yes | 44c | 327$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…2a34backed No | 56c | 327$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e42…396fbacked Yes | 64c | 325$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…3be0backed Yes | 4c | 320$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…5e21backed No | 61c | 320$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…5aefbacked Yes | 53c | 317$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…4087backed Yes | 39c | 317$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…8ba6backed Yes | 62c | 316$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…7d81backed No | 68c | 313$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…232ebacked No | 61c | 309$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +1,029.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…715dbacked Yes | 45c | 305$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…840abacked Yes | 5c | 303$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…ff7dbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…e6cebacked No | 61c | 295$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…1d05backed No | 66c | 293$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…a83cbacked No | 73c | 292$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…8485backed Yes | 38c | 291$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…8488backed Yes | 5c | 290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…1ca8backed No | 56c | 287$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…12c9backed No | 66c | 283$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…3c38backed No | 75c | 283$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…4aa4backed No | 61c | 283$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…1831backed Yes | 64c | 281$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…9d8ebacked Yes | 53c | 281$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…e677backed No | 73c | 281$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…301ebacked No | 54c | 279$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…1e45backed Yes | 62c | 278$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…2736backed No | 55c | 278$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…d177backed No | 67c | 275$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…7959backed Yes | 33c | 272$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8174backed No | 61c | 271$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…3229backed No | 56c | 261$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…8a54backed No | 49c | 260$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b4…92d2backed Yes | 49c | 260$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…e9eebacked No | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3aa0backed No | 56c | 259$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…7fe3backed Yes | 4c | 258$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…f11cbacked No | 66c | 256$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…7f20backed No | 58c | 253$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…6760backed No | 56c | 248$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.