NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98883b03bf38fd8f9661cfa531bb31fa64f19d9d54f330ed605111d83544e268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,804 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 52,105$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 21,361$11,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,101.51 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 46c | 11,542$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.88 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,420$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.48 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 47c | 5,267$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,400$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.3 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,626$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.08 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,319$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.36 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Nuggets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 53c | 899.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.72 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 64c | 867$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 47c | 722$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.34 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Nuggets | 32c | 531.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 521.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 510.64$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Nuggets | 48c | 510.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.03 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 47c | 483.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Nuggets | 33c | 377.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Grizzlies | 62c | 323.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 47c | 309.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Nuggets | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Nuggets | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 269$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 240.92$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…92e2backed Nuggets | 47c | 187$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 187$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Nuggets | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 176.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 170.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Grizzlies | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Nuggets | 43c | 149.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 37c | 148.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 136.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 78c | 122.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Grizzlies | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x246e…d6efbacked Nuggets | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nuggets | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Nuggets | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 39c | 94.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 94.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 93.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Nuggets | 48c | 92.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Nuggets | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 76.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Nuggets | 29c | 64.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nuggets | 48c | 56.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 49.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Nuggets | 47c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nuggets | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Nuggets | 39c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Nuggets | 47c | 35.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Nuggets | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 37c | 32.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Nuggets | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Nuggets | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nuggets | 35c | 28.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 69c | 25.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Grizzlies | 52c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8065backed Grizzlies | 64c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Nuggets | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 21.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…86febacked Nuggets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Grizzlies | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Grizzlies | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.