TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7608…92e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$88.4
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.89
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$98
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$64.48
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.79
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$83
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$24.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.89
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$97.78
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.96
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.