Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbc910903e0efced364c87fb3148716b79dcbe6f861fa1819833825c08d0d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof OG, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 52c | 14,656$7,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,644.21 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 11,438$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,339.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 66c | 6,035$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.67 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 4,721$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 12c | 4,652$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.93 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 4,567$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked OG | 12c | 4,444$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 3,644$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.57 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked OG | 13c | 3,500$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed OG | 48c | 3,102$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed OG | 64c | 3,057$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.92 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,766$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.66 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed OG | 36c | 2,024$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.58 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked OG | 12c | 2,007$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed OG | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed OG | 17c | 1,930$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.48 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed OG | 64c | 1,553$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 61c | 1,483$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.56 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,340$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 1,059$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 1,018$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.55 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 942.65$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.14 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed OG | 55c | 839.7$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.85 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 811.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked OG | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 685.92$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.57 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 682.05$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed OG | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 517.25$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.87 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked OG | 65c | 504.52$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.69 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed OG | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…5664backed OG | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked OG | 8c | 450$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed OG | 11c | 442.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked OG | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 409.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed OG | 11c | 362.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 24c | 328.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed OG | 50c | 302.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 246.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 245.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked OG | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed OG | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 199.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…e42fbacked OG | 9c | 189.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 184.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked OG | 12c | 182$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…e87fbacked OG | 37c | 177.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…5b84backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 174$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked OG | 63c | 159.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 155.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed OG | 67c | 149.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 24c | 148.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked OG | 11c | 136.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed OG | 12c | 132.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed OG | 63c | 124.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked OG | 28c | 119.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed OG | 17c | 108.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked OG | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked OG | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked OG | 17c | 72.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 71.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed OG | 24c | 71.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…3c3fbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 64.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…92e2backed OG | 58c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 57.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked OG | 26c | 57.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…9f67backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked OG | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed OG | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed OG | 30c | 49.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b7…d4f5backed OG | 54c | 46.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed OG | 32c | 44.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9234backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 43.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 41.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked OG | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked OG | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed OG | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 27.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb5…b3a4backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…551ebacked OG | 60c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed OG | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.