TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe96d…e87f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$113.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$132.66
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$59.65
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.83
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$90.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$30.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$22.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.12
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Aurora vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.6
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+235.9%+$49.54
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+340.1%+$317.82
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$104
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.21
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+124%+$24.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.12
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$29.08
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.8%+$34.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.87
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.38
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.56
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.52
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.9%+$34.86
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Pegulabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63%+$12.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.