TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes2c21,999$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.987424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes32c2,496$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.728243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes32c2,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c1,767$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.751,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4655735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No68c1,403$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.965440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c1,399$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.3669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes2c1,300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No70c1,000$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.028143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes5c993.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c928.95$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c746.86$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.251,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes33c667.64$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.155125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes3c590.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes24c577.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.339134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes32c531.25$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes33c438.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5813045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…045fbacked Yes25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No68c391.23$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c319.54$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x667c…7958backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes32c307.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.281533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes26c294$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4813249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes31c289.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.62025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c278.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7114023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c277.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c267.4$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes31c240.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4313230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc378…9592backed No76c236.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c225.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes28c216.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Yes28c210.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.461050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No69c185.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c182.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes20c182$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c178$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.460832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234d…e8e1backed Yes46c166.07$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No69c154$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.74887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c149.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.715034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes28c146.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7116838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes31c128.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.94042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes43c116.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Yes32c112.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes32c112.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.989354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No69c112$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes32c110.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2111342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes26c104$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8212944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262552%13 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xecc2…b148backed No69c99.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes32c96.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.849034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…d769backed Yes17c93.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No68c79.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.66762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe96d…e87fbacked Yes28c71.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c68.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.991,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee77…ad2abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes27c62.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.485642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes37c59.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes32c55.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No74c52.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5535145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.510270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2502…02e0backed No69c48.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes32c47.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a85…4f81backed Yes31c45.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes45c44.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf66a…3592backed Yes26c40.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Yes26c40.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No63c39.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c39.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7448153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6437…474abacked No60c38.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No69c38.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7928558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb4…68c3backed Yes29c37.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113083.3%25 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes31c37.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.543053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabeb…1d14backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671b…e4bdbacked Yes31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Yes40c33.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.432240.9%9 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No68c32.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.565754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.