TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x671b…e4bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.48
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.5
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.31
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.85
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.61
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.69
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.62
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15.64
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.18
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.11
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$16.48
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.18
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+222.6%+$83.47
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+316.7%+$98.17
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$41.21
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+203%+$40.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+63.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$47.86
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.42
Will Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$16.46
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Fulham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+37%+$19.23
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+376.2%+$52.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$39.16
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NJIT Highlanders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+212.5%+$24.44
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will IR Iran vs. Gambia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.