NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a47c291be1eeebdbe2a8758b64b4894882b437c6784d8b5d0a766420fcef88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Lightning, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Lightning | 66c | 15,706$10,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,389.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 32c | 9,035$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 40c | 8,075$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.42 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers | 41c | 7,374$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.5 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Lightning | 58c | 5,950$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Flyers | 41c | 4,629$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.11 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 42c | 4,626$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.19 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flyers | 36c | 3,429$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.46 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 40c | 2,335$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.91 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Lightning | 77c | 2,298$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Flyers | 30c | 2,283$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 39c | 2,259$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Flyers | 37c | 1,921$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.23 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 32c | 1,605$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.59 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 42c | 1,506$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.97 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Lightning | 59c | 1,503$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Lightning | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Flyers | 41c | 1,499$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Lightning | 32c | 1,475$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.1 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 62c | 1,012$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 38c | 999.94$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers | 38c | 951.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.15 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 59c | 895.91$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.59 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 37c | 811$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.93 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Flyers | 51c | 654.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 39c | 630.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 58c | 520.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers | 43c | 460.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…01c6backed Lightning | 60c | 432.4$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Lightning | 56c | 356.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Lightning | 47c | 336.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 41c | 333.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Lightning | 54c | 325$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Lightning | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lightning | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…d9f6backed Flyers | 41c | 279.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Flyers | 69c | 273.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lightning | 59c | 257.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Lightning | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Flyers | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Lightning | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Flyers | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…8156backed Lightning | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Flyers | 29c | 163.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 40c | 156.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 59c | 153.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…aa06backed Flyers | 41c | 152.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…a632backed Flyers | 42c | 144.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…5927backed Flyers | 41c | 136.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Flyers | 48c | 125.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…cdf3backed Flyers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…6511backed Flyers | 42c | 117.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…5a16backed Flyers | 42c | 115.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…050bbacked Flyers | 42c | 113.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…0f02backed Lightning | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Flyers | 40c | 109.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Lightning | 60c | 107.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lightning | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b8bebacked Lightning | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Flyers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…cd3abacked Lightning | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Lightning | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…823fbacked Lightning | 60c | 96.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Flyers | 54c | 94.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 60c | 92.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…d370backed Lightning | 60c | 84.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Lightning | 64c | 81.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Flyers | 41c | 80.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…ac20backed Lightning | 59c | 80.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Flyers | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…8984backed Flyers | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb158…05ebbacked Lightning | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…c4a4backed Lightning | 59c | 78.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…61c1backed Lightning | 60c | 78.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…dfa1backed Lightning | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Lightning | 59c | 77.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…0f8cbacked Lightning | 60c | 74.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lightning | 54c | 73.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 60c | 73.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 43c | 68.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Lightning | 60c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Flyers | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…01b6backed Lightning | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Lightning | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed Lightning | 60c | 66.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed Flyers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Lightning | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Flyers | 41c | 61.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Flyers | 42c | 61.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Flyers | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.