TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6be5…22cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.35
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.21
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.6
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$42.88
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.37
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$39.13
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.2
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.34
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.27
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.13
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.75
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$24.53
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.33
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$13.72
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$35.32
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$20.5
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.04
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.16
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.25
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$33.34
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$40.72
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+143.7%+$59.45
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$101.6
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+138.1%+$62.71
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$15.84
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$31.33
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.69
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.07
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.61
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.82
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$36.35
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$48.26
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$150.32
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.62
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.19
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$51.05
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$55.89
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.87
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$78.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$31.47
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$53.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$37.31
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+509.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$259.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$34.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.