NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5342a58cd59e1daf5aa092ba7a683e74918624e0ef437115000927eeed5fae23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Rockets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 22c | 15,052$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.41 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Rockets | 6c | 11,804$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Rockets | 3c | 11,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 16c | 10,411$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.6 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 19c | 9,999$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.07 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 10c | 9,499$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.94 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Rockets | 12c | 7,624$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.09 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 79c | 6,803$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.69 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Rockets | 19c | 5,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Rockets | 11c | 5,070$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.7 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 21c | 4,372$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.24 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 0c | 3,848$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 16c | 3,790$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Rockets | 7c | 3,386$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Rockets | 10c | 3,222$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…ffffbacked Rockets | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 17c | 2,957$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.04 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 3c | 2,616$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets | 15c | 2,277$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Rockets | 3c | 2,276$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets | 2c | 2,250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Thunder | 77c | 2,223$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 3c | 2,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 15c | 1,957$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.55 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Rockets | 4c | 1,890$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 19c | 1,682$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Rockets | 21c | 1,650$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Rockets | 17c | 1,641$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.65 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Thunder | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Thunder | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Rockets | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Rockets | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…fe9ebacked Rockets | 22c | 1,365$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 2c | 1,233$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Rockets | 1c | 1,220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 19c | 1,181$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 2c | 1,174$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 18c | 1,101$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Rockets | 1c | 1,014$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Rockets | 1c | 1,003$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Rockets | 12c | 1,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…3160backed Rockets | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 20c | 999.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 6c | 983.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockets | 18c | 939.22$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 20c | 929.7$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 14c | 924.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Rockets | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Rockets | 13c | 896.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Rockets | 2c | 891.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 79c | 883.43$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder | 78c | 873.08$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Rockets | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Rockets | 10c | 815.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Rockets | 19c | 780.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Thunder | 80c | 764.04$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets | 17c | 704.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Thunder | 78c | 703$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Rockets | 4c | 701.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Rockets | 22c | 699.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Rockets | 16c | 650.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Rockets | 14c | 650$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 21c | 590$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets | 16c | 581$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…9375backed Rockets | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…8c8ebacked Rockets | 19c | 536.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Rockets | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Rockets | 13c | 505.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Rockets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Rockets | 20c | 480.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Rockets | 10c | 450.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 22c | 449.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…49d7backed Rockets | 29c | 449$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Rockets | 23c | 441.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rockets | 11c | 441.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed Rockets | 21c | 440.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Rockets | 19c | 428.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rockets | 10c | 408$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Rockets | 10c | 386.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rockets | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a1e0backed Rockets | 9c | 305.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Rockets | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Rockets | 18c | 279.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Rockets | 6c | 274.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Rockets | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…876cbacked Rockets | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…d12abacked Rockets | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…03f0backed Rockets | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Rockets | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Rockets | 12c | 233.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Rockets | 22c | 225.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Rockets | 18c | 223.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…b1dabacked Thunder | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Rockets | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.