TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7897…ea9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.51
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$26.21
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.21
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$101.01
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.79
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$60.54
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$19.99
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.13
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.79
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+130.8%+$172.08
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$24.16
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$25.36
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$58.25
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.98
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.66
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$24.94
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.65
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$18.24
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$571.26
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$28.6
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.07
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$57.27
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$108.49
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$107.26
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$62.65
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.83
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.28
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.76
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$121.17
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$41.51
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$16.61
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$73.55
Blackhawks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29.73
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$48.36
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+150.3%+$61.72
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.9
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$42.58
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$119.82
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$59.28
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+85%+$105.5
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+133.1%+$36.24
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+37%+$15.22
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$48.12
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$51.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Raysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$31.75
Marlins vs. Oriolesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+75.1%+$101.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$85.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.