Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444ddf4d35e67e6b1c97ad264c018ff1c0d73ea0702773697d1beca4fb3f484f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 74c | 13,427$9,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.2 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 47c | 13,341$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225.55 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 28c | 12,154$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.6 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 45c | 11,292$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.93 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 56c | 10,427$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.56 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 58c | 10,143$5,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 12c | 7,126$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.12 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 13c | 5,803$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.41 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 11c | 5,010$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 11c | 4,527$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.38 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 11c | 3,943$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.32 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 9c | 3,332$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 10c | 3,022$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked No | 14c | 2,774$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.96 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 68c | 2,710$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.89 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 26c | 2,632$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.56 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…e38abacked Yes | 54c | 2,595$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 12c | 2,439$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked No | 10c | 2,358$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,066$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…263abacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 25c | 1,802$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.35 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 55c | 1,745$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.24 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 12c | 1,734$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 57c | 1,167$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.43 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 1,099$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 10c | 1,040$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 57c | 976.43$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 14c | 931.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 75c | 773.18$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 11c | 749.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked No | 13c | 724.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked No | 12c | 684.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 50c | 622.97$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 56c | 537.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 54c | 499$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 63c | 367.07$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 13c | 350$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 72c | 279.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 55c | 250.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed No | 7c | 245.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed No | 44c | 240.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Yes | 58c | 208.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 75c | 198.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 79c | 188.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 57c | 187.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 56c | 184.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 11c | 152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…8cb1backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed No | 44c | 126.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 13c | 116.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 55c | 109.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 10c | 104.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 75c | 99.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 59c | 61.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No | 33c | 59.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 57c | 46.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…ff2abacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed Yes | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0cbbbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…91f6backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f6…732cbacked Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…ae4fbacked Yes | 58c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…68c7backed Yes | 67c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.