Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa5023d24fbc548311e6e8e2b322c381bd5e3126a05404887ab011d455d6fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 37c | 4,232$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.14 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 32c | 4,198$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 69c | 2,417$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.45 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 2,255$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.49 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,725$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 8c | 1,341$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,242$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 9c | 953$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 7c | 876$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 524.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 7c | 480.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Yes | 6c | 334$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 28c | 282.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…b95ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 28c | 213.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 63c | 161.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 72c | 150.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…1a59backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 13c | 119.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…b99fbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.