Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe70050d7f74ed4842f545065f65fa55e44d79d84adf2607638d29a548839445d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 3c | 116,332$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.98 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 3c | 57,755$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.14 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 3c | 19,388$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.71 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 8c | 17,974$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.44 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 3c | 17,458$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.25 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 19c | 16,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.3 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 17c | 9,999$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.8 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Yes | 3c | 4,217$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,373$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 2c | 3,210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 4c | 2,097$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,067$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed Yes | 5c | 2,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…8d04backed Yes | 4c | 1,592$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 16c | 1,467$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,288$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,003$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 18c | 950$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…b364backed Yes | 6c | 906.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Yes | 18c | 675.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes | 6c | 646.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 3c | 643.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 3c | 581.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Yes | 2c | 543.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 8c | 198.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…47fbbacked Yes | 17c | 176.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.