TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x596a…1219

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
360
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST23658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 236 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.19
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$16.69
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36.43
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+90.6%+$45.28
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$244.95
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$503.29
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+219.1%+$106.43
Showing 25 of 236 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$38.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.78
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$571.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$253.12
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.96
Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$176
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$478
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.67
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$123.84
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$141
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$83.5
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.73
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$150
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+48.1%+$19.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$53.29
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.96
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Rangers vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$151
Will Lyon vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Will Fenerbahce vs. Rangers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.96
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$36.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$167.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.