TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Houston vs. Duke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houstonof Houston, Duke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,050,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,952,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,050,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4344…caefbacked Houston23c319,802$74,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245,336.731643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75e…96ebbacked Duke75c197,556$147,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,618.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3196…146fbacked Duke71c168,603$119,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,708.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Houston31c108,477$33,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,387.743455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Houston33c99,180$32,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,877.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Houston6c83,097$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,091.41136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+127.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Houston27c78,244$21,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,887.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Houston15c75,780$11,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,065.6810041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Houston30c63,165$18,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,213.392958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Duke70c59,277$41,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,680.585527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Houston24c57,031$13,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,123.967912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Houston31c50,281$15,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,575.324542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Duke71c50,000$35,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Houston32c45,955$14,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,326.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Houston25c42,805$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,105.34100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Houston30c41,140$12,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,687.342512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Houston30c40,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,799.986643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Houston31c36,025$11,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,857.513141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Houston29c33,205$9,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,575.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Houston7c28,799$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,639.622924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Houston31c21,476$6,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,828.645349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Houston29c20,384$6,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,372.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Duke7c19,574$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.913215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Duke71c18,850$13,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,375.648644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Houston29c18,000$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,829.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Duke71c16,876$11,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,981.9641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Houston29c14,809$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,445.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+155.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Houston2c13,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,133.334242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Duke70c12,883$8,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,988.474831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Duke76c12,050$9,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,100.551560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Houston29c11,174$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,974.947936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked Houston28c11,166$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,039.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed Duke70c11,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,70040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Duke70c11,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7002770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Houston29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,10030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Houston29c8,999$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,389.291450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Houston30c8,606$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,006.142055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b6…c02cbacked Duke70c8,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…21debacked Duke69c8,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,519.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Houston29c7,972$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.881822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Duke71c7,786$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.973641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Duke10c7,777$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Duke21c7,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Houston22c7,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.9910739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Duke70c6,565$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.1916053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Houston29c6,300$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.9953057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston43c6,244$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.751,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke79c6,200$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.11,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Duke69c5,800$4,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,021.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Houston28c5,602$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.056440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Houston45c5,351$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Houston30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Duke0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.75822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Duke68c5,000$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3755054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1186…051bbacked Duke70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ac…7f5abacked Houston18c4,988$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Duke69c4,705$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.732454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Houston29c4,537$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.119833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Houston20c4,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6159641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a76…2dfebacked Duke71c4,230$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Houston7c4,029$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.9837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick10cpaid+339.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Houston30c4,016$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.064548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Duke71c3,819$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Duke70c3,639$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.428151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Duke75c3,519$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.9740%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Houston31c3,147$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Duke70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Houston21c3,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.99540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Houston29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873b…166cbacked Duke71c2,887$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Houston22c2,874$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.514632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Duke70c2,860$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0024035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Houston15c2,837$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.813993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Duke71c2,748$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.2116445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Houston11c2,739$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.463231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…46d5backed Duke70c2,621$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Duke70c2,621$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.542030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Duke70c2,620$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.131957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Houston17c2,500$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick18cpaid+189.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Houston30c2,500$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9913936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston21c2,370$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.23,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Houston48c2,211$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Duke71c2,113$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Houston30c2,021$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.1755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Houston22c2,000$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+129.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Duke70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Houston29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4204450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Duke71c1,873$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3322250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Houston30c1,790$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.653650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Houston5c1,694$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.422020%4 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Duke70c1,690$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Houston28c1,593$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+78.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27bf…fa14backed Houston4c1,529$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.662615.4%4 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Duke70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Duke69c1,495$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Houston30c1,478$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.49560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+85.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Houston30c1,466$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.971,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Houston29c1,462$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Duke56c1,450$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.54932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Houston35c1,441$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.612568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.