TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9e8…c443

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST4953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$790
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.28
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$255
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$292.33
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$365
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$153.74
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$48
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$343.91
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,979.99
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$1,172.86
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.63
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,841Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$4,348.03
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$714.98
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$1,020.25
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,638.65
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,541.53
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,833Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,395.24
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$1,241.07
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,133.19
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.45
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,013Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$754.05
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$558.22
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+46%+$635.8
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,015.63
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,900.41
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,571.49
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.3%+$282.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.2%+$456.4
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$64.16
Will Leeds United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$413.02
Will Everton vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+28.5%+$455.3
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,169.32
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,923Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+37.3%+$718.16
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+50.8%+$699.88
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+35.5%+$317.19
Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+43.5%+$429.05
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$153.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,931.2
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+94.2%+$1,450.42
Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$375
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$75
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$232
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+25.5%+$153.95
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$195
Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+52.5%+$598.83
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$321.76
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$105
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$799.31
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$529
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$369.14
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$265
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+41%+$290.6
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$245
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$340.45
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$239.85
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$210
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$185
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$235.62
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$488.28
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,672Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$493.17
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$894
Mets vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$241
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,911Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$734.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,691.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,902Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29%+$551.61
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12,575.23
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$2,411.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,318.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,800.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$663.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,859Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$1,099.46
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.3
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,225.03
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$208.4
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$2,193.89
Solana all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+40.5%+$271
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+25.9%+$2,463.68
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+38.2%+$2,776.02
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+201.8%+$1,439.33
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$340
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+37%+$135
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+44.2%+$46
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+37.3%+$65.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.71
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,450
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,095.02
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,653.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+39.6%+$282.45
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+66.7%+$145.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,450
Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,943.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$241.9
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,541Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.5%+$1,434.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$325.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,955Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$985
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$720.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30.3%+$278.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$799.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Arouca vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$211.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,421.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,549.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.