Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece87ddfd011b39eb874c79ed9a5e9984636977f94a3710f280b5e3b1550a324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 72c | 7,749$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.24 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…12afbacked Yes | 1c | 5,283$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 4,336$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.98 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 77c | 3,002$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,904$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 2,661 | 42%1,117 W · 1,544 L | +50.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,904$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 26c | 1,344$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.23 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 26c | 1,010$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Yes | 21c | 806.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 26c | 655.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 25c | 577$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 36c | 560.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 414.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed No | 66c | 367.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 273.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 1,834 | 50.1%919 W · 915 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 242.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 224.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 58c | 195.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 71c | 181$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 170.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Yes | 35c | 147.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…9953backed No | 75c | 136.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 28c | 121$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 40c | 96.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 65.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…2385backed Yes | 32c | 59.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 27c | 58.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 50.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 47.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 43.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 71c | 39.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Yes | 34c | 36.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…d673backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 76c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.