TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xede1…8ad7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 32.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST3839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55.27
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+97.5%+$76.24
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$46.01
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+102.5%+$105.17
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$59.56
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$21.86
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.52
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.76
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$39.92
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$81.52
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.48
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$26.32
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.41
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+87.7%+$58.62
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.72
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100.8%+$34.74
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.74
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hampton Pirates (-3.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+93.9%+$34.26
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-18.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.14
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+118.7%+$205.26
Brown Bears vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.49
Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-4.5)backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.83
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$20.1
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneersbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.64
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-5.5)backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.73
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.01
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-4.5)backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Spread: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (-6.5)backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.14
Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$21.27
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-7.5)backed Northern Colorado Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.7
Hofstra Pride vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$55.73
Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$29.91
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.31
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+89.6%+$34
Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.69
Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$24.46
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-3.5)backed Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Spread: Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (-5.5)backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.06
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.68
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.24
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.63
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.72
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$3.95
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+84%+$23.91
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Wrexham AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$48.28
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+98.5%+$57.69
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+32.6%+$15.83
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+55%+$51.08
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$97.96
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.59
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.76
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.34
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+148.3%+$83.26
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$22.07
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Will Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.7%+$28.34
Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$56.21
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.23
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.76
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.57
CA Tigre vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.95
CA Tigre vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$21.84
CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27.9%+$4.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.74
Pau: Clement Tabur vs Moez Echarguibacked Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra Marcinkobacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.62
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Julia Grabherbacked Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$129.21
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$210.73
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+76.6%+$90.92
Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.4%+$17.34
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.22
Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+114.9%+$76.86
Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51.94
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+220.2%+$99.54
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$95.99
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+54.2%+$14.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117%+$15.89
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.83
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.06
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+54.9%+$10.4
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51.32
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$89.39
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.91
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.86
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$61.31
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+103.1%+$19.81
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.42
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.06
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$119.77
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$5.68
Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Córdoba CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.2%+$19.29
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+233.1%+$561.89
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.45
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+112.8%+$29.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+76.3%+$150.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$88.02
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)backed Perth Glory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.31
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56.28
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$132.81
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)backed Perth Glory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United Jets FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$234.57
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.13
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.66
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-5.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.67
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.52
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.31
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+54%+$36.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.