Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04adf2fa03e5354c4487224b043b0cb6870fc1fac1e382df3d1bc5d3435afadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,095$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…0e4dbacked Over | 42c | 900$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 698.47$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Over | 30c | 453.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 302.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 34c | 266.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…d73fbacked Over | 40c | 246.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 215.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 30c | 199.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 198.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 55c | 151.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 34c | 148.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 69c | 148$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Under | 58c | 132.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 16c | 121.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 50c | 112.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 109.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 97.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 40c | 89.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Under | 18c | 70.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 61.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…9f26backed Over | 30c | 59.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 69c | 49.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 63c | 48.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…f6d8backed Under | 72c | 43.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 29c | 42.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 41c | 39.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 50c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…9603backed Under | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…e7bbbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…8db3backed Under | 60c | 19.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Under | 73c | 17.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.