TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Khachanovof Khachanov, Jong
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Jong42c19,818$8,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,288.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Khachanov70c18,681$13,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,525.4780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Khachanov64c11,952$7,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jong38c7,885$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.561,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Khachanov57c7,007$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.4828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Khachanov54c6,990$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.2193055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Jong1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Jong39c5,919$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Khachanov59c4,603$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Jong46c4,596$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13527460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jong40c3,974$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.951,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Khachanov59c3,655$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.217,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jong35c3,080$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.7565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…81b9backed Khachanov66c3,000$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0301060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jong36c2,583$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.222,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Khachanov65c2,421$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.618,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jong28c2,195$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.991,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Khachanov69c2,115$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.5224438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jong38c2,058$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.454,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9480…7456backed Khachanov74c2,024$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked Khachanov62c1,745$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.942055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Khachanov61c1,640$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.011,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Khachanov61c1,638$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.71,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Khachanov60c1,512$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.816159%36 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Khachanov70c1,509$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2525764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Khachanov57c1,417$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.611,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Jong17c1,249$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6435032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Jong18c1,165$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.057037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Jong18c1,118$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Jong30c1,080$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5612631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Jong60c1,026$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9825556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Jong20c1,017$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Jong37c991$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Jong26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25055646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jong40c926.78$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.16,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Jong16c860.97$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.991,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Jong42c857.14$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Jong26c815.08$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.921,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Jong42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Jong42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Khachanov59c693.3$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5510756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Jong48c621.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30058359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jong31c600.02$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.462,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Jong60c549.9$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6428247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Khachanov66c542.03$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jong31c511.93$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8be…f991backed Jong32c499.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.597027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Khachanov67c483.31$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3652037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Jong42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Jong17c475.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1115363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Khachanov62c473.48$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Khachanov64c465.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.858262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Khachanov65c439.74$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7430741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Jong18c438.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Khachanov70c427$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7617867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Jong57c408.66$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Khachanov63c407.15$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8512752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Khachanov55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18025355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Jong29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Khachanov72c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Jong47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Jong60c380.95$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5752460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Jong27c340$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.840141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Jong35c336.94$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9320447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Khachanov68c330.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.746553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Jong38c324.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.55234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Jong31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jong40c316.46$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.182,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae42…8aafbacked Jong37c312.86$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d9…fdd5backed Jong43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-81.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Jong15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Jong34c297.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Jong42c274.52$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.099738.1%37 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jong25c268.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.432,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Khachanov75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Jong32c262.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9225542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Jong43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Khachanov78c229.49$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.493372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Khachanov39c213.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.526050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Jong36c202.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742528%7 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jong19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Jong13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Jong16c188$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Jong20c187.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jong29c183.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.822,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Khachanov59c183.68$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.316549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jong38c181.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.011,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Khachanov58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Khachanov58c167$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5818644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Jong36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Khachanov48c165.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3114860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed Jong25c164.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Khachanov57c161.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.356969.6%48 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Jong13c158.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jong33c158.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.686,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jong15c156.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.481,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Khachanov62c153.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6116132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Khachanov57c150.38$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3816665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2276…295ebacked Jong17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca4…e4e7backed Jong41c146.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.