Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Jong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a09abc0afb10222964fd24ff3333ba9b335a626b063ef00064428c4c684afc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jongof Khachanov, Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Jong | 26c | 756.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.88 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jong | 63c | 567$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Khachanov | 74c | 524.32$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Khachanov | 78c | 400.35$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jong | 66c | 104.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jong | 69c | 98.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jong | 21c | 80.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…e4d5backed Jong | 25c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…c756backed Jong | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Khachanov | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Khachanov | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Khachanov | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Khachanov | 74c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…443ebacked Khachanov | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked Khachanov | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Khachanov | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Khachanov | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…3fb0backed Khachanov | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Khachanov | 73c | 22.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…51c4backed Khachanov | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…0a7cbacked Khachanov | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked Khachanov | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…ee20backed Khachanov | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…8635backed Khachanov | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Khachanov | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed Khachanov | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…8d8dbacked Khachanov | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed Khachanov | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Khachanov | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Khachanov | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…7289backed Khachanov | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Khachanov | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Khachanov | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Khachanov | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…531bbacked Khachanov | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Khachanov | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Khachanov | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed Khachanov | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…6693backed Khachanov | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…098ebacked Khachanov | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed Khachanov | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Khachanov | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Jongthis page
- Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de JongKhachanov won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)Jong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.