TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec2…c5f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST6053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$555.02
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38.13
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+89.2%+$17.83
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$32.01
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.8
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$68.66
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+60.6%+$17.21
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+45.1%+$43.26
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Jazz (-7.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST5158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+91.4%+$148.94
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+62.6%+$61.47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+68.2%+$27.56
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$10
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$821
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$387.63
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$32.82
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$78.26
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+191.2%+$152.98
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$79.71
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+55%+$94.68
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.3%+$88.29
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+95.6%+$40.42
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+71.2%+$35.59
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.7%+$142.83
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.81
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.4%+$116
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Hurkacz (+1.5)backed Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$50.49
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Bublikbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100.3%+$15.04
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Ouden vs. Fucsovics: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Set 1 Winner: Gracheva vs Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Laslo Djerebacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+71.6%+$14.33
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$50.18
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.2%+$9.85
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+80.7%+$67.8
Qatar Total Open: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+64.3%+$64.16
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.6%+$162.71
Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.1%+$15.22
Argentina Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Hugo Dellienbacked Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.95
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.93
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$34.47
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$292.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.87
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$410.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$271.86
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$150.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.9%+$93.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.3%+$119.06
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+74.4%+$11.16
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.7%+$170.71
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$399.47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$488.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+52.3%+$66.83
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.91
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+394%+$78.8
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+165.9%+$28.21
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.