NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8952fbcd0311466eda0574138eb74db353e291de69f6b14190fb02bfb566476a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 56c | 313,262$175,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,167.4 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 44c | 140,730$61,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,921.35 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 67,262$29,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,595.36 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 44c | 45,455$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 38c | 19,851$7,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,627.7 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 19,232$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.27 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 16,657$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,616 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 47c | 9,409$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.39 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 46c | 7,996$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 47c | 7,722$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 47c | 7,025$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 46c | 6,420$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…3aa3backed Over | 46c | 5,687$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 53c | 3,733$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.51 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 3,102$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.13 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 3,052$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.71 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 3,004$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.32 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 2,111$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 45c | 1,882$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 57c | 1,700$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.39 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 1,627$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,520$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 45c | 1,274$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 1,192$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.29 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 43c | 1,103$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.44 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 1,005$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 45c | 943$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.71 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 5c | 895.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 870.79$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Over | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 568.2$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.37 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 46c | 529.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 28c | 521.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 47c | 516.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 467$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 49c | 409.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 15c | 383.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 361$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 46c | 335.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Over | 53c | 335$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 47c | 323.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 25c | 323$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 59c | 298.13$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 207.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 47c | 201.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 197.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Over | 46c | 180.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 15c | 179.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 163.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Over | 46c | 147.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 43c | 145.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Under | 53c | 143.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 54c | 126.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 64c | 125.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 58c | 125.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 69c | 109.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…fa3dbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 66c | 105.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 46c | 95.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…9ffbbacked Under | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 85.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…0e92backed Under | 24c | 85.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 76c | 75.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 75.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 53c | 68.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 44c | 67.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Maple Leafs vs. FlamesMaple Leafs won
- Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.