NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12e794b66ef8228c478cd6aa6dce83726e0042eeeae9b5cb7c1b02148c131cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,407,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,406,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,407,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Flames | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,999.82 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,999.91 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 234,950$122,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,776 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flames | 49c | 149,926$72,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,786.7 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 82,937$42,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,980.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Flames | 48c | 73,628$35,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,105.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 61,403$45,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,721.85 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Flames | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 49,000$25,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,520 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f813backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 42,308$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,307.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 41,152$21,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,746.51 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Flames | 48c | 40,119$19,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,255.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Flames | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd6…bb28backed Flames | 48c | 23,785$11,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 22,373$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,962.96 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 21,685$11,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,168.35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 21,627$11,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,380.76 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…0f47backed Flames | 48c | 21,346$10,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,245.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 19,838$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.89 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 48c | 17,483$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.84 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flames | 12c | 17,010$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.49 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 46c | 14,469$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.53 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 13,992$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576.46 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 24c | 12,739$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.28 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 12,000$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.98 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 11,129$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.09 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flames | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 8,016$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.71 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 17c | 7,774$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.75 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 37c | 6,865$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 6,262$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.76 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 17c | 6,148$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.49 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Flames | 25c | 5,981$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 48c | 5,362$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.03 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Flames | 48c | 4,848$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.11 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 47c | 4,348$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.67 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,125$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 47c | 4,043$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Flames | 48c | 3,497$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.66 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flames | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Maple Leafs | 74c | 3,249$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.65 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 3,225$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.16 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Flames | 49c | 3,187$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,000$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,990$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.67 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flames | 15c | 2,989$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.41 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 2,928$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,850$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.71 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 74c | 2,836$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.79 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…4ec4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,825$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flames | 48c | 2,595$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.56 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 48c | 2,114$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.72 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 48c | 2,070$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…95dbbacked Flames | 48c | 1,959$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,914$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Flames | 48c | 1,914$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.72 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Flames | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 9c | 1,841$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Flames | 47c | 1,725$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.18 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,650$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Flames | 48c | 1,521$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.08 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Flames | 10c | 1,500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Flames | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…b26dbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,453$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 1,240$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,227$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.02 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Flames | 26c | 1,219$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Flames | 25c | 1,208$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.75 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,208$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.55 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 11c | 1,125$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flames | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 1,096$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.68 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Flames | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Flames | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Flames | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Flamesthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.