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Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,112,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,217,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,112,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 820 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0775…b0c5backed BNK FEARX24c193,764$46,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,933.1625547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX15c165,681$24,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,509.921,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked BNK FEARX14c154,999$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,299.274544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed BNK FEARX30c110,000$32,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,001.59534.7%33 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed T170c107,362$75,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,153.2418633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed T166c76,748$50,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,562.0120035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed T160c61,873$37,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,387.4316238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T176c46,235$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00059658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed BNK FEARX41c45,322$18,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,885.0954353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked BNK FEARX14c41,026$5,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,447.549142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed BNK FEARX14c39,574$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,033.6421137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed BNK FEARX15c35,942$5,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,701.053661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX39c27,697$10,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,999.3966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed BNK FEARX27c25,555$7,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,531.7823439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked BNK FEARX29c22,150$6,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,639.076541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed BNK FEARX14c21,798$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,746.423815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed BNK FEARX15c20,909$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,831.5815945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed T152c20,651$10,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,818.5421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked BNK FEARX15c20,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,0009100%9 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+128.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked T151c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2005639.3%22 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2610…972ebacked T10c19,853$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.857311%8 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed T171c19,219$13,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,643.918938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9670…9786backed T153c19,000$10,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,112.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…dac1backed BNK FEARX15c17,829$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,154.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x476d…2fb4backed T171c17,497$12,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,429.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed T180c16,756$13,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,392.9720438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked BNK FEARX14c16,711$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,443.7921536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked T179c16,707$13,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,226.16939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked BNK FEARX48c16,139$7,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,359.498056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX14c15,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,90082452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed BNK FEARX14c15,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.9913344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed BNK FEARX69c13,955$9,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,273.3242940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked T157c13,630$7,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,795.0125923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed BNK FEARX14c13,620$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,713.1114839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed T112c12,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018433.7%62 W · 122 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX37c11,090$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,018.512,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX42c10,950$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,359.691,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed T15c10,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed T172c10,413$7,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,539.6616241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed T142c10,246$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.8738624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked BNK FEARX46c10,217$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.0916654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385f…a21fbacked T177c9,694$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX40c9,647$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,790.111,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed BNK FEARX43c9,561$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,471.0626144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f3…be80backed BNK FEARX13c9,493$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,214.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+271.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed T152c9,252$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.8167931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BNK FEARX48c9,000$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,71048548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe041…a51dbacked T168c8,829$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.196753.7%36 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked T170c8,800$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,159.9912646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed T154c8,695$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.314637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed T142c7,735$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,229.681,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed T129c7,683$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.38336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked T146c7,396$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.3353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked BNK FEARX41c7,100$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.0811358.4%66 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked BNK FEARX30c6,570$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.9577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed T153c6,565$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5015757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX32c6,535$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.411,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked BNK FEARX14c6,500$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.9850040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed T166c6,100$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.4830139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked T124c5,971$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.21,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed BNK FEARX15c5,948$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,062.344955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX42c5,926$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.862,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed BNK FEARX48c5,687$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.2913355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked BNK FEARX47c5,607$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.5521548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX37c5,601$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.653,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7d…7a1fbacked T14c5,555$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed T16c5,523$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3473729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9750…0969backed BNK FEARX14c5,454$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,690.851844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dcf…75b9backed T169c5,421$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.422166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed BNK FEARX28c5,400$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.9844047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked T170c5,368$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.024353.5%23 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed T154c5,268$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.6411241.1%46 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX41c5,013$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.81,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BNK FEARX38c5,000$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.4285942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed T180c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed BNK FEARX18c5,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.972711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed BNK FEARX13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.9630243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T174c4,979$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.4279653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX39c4,876$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.781,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed T173c4,500$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,27617561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BNK FEARX14c4,434$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.1940232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked T166c4,400$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90542835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed BNK FEARX29c4,390$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.823020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BNK FEARX55c4,226$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.2569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked T153c4,103$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.9545344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed T153c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1208648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed BNK FEARX14c4,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed BNK FEARX14c4,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.946735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked T11c3,952$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5213740.1%55 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked BNK FEARX14c3,890$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.210631.1%33 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed T176c3,888$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.4199338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed BNK FEARX13c3,850$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.514038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd3…246abacked BNK FEARX14c3,842$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed T129c3,799$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.041,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f67…da0ebacked T172c3,771$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed T154c3,658$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.3523547.7%112 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed T157c3,569$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.629221.7%20 W · 72 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked T174c3,500$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5785662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BNK FEARX13c3,500$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0451,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb86…cc67backed BNK FEARX15c3,497$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+304.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.