Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67f6c55e41aae64dbf1d1ef2b34c4808f8037b2176701ee5c153bc3f8d25d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 21,826$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,920.79 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked T1 | 69c | 6,113$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.52 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed T1 | 67c | 5,020$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 2,970$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed T1 | 41c | 2,440$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.75 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 2,417$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.55 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed T1 | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 67c | 1,998$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.75 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 1,875$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.71 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed T1 | 68c | 1,535$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.77 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed T1 | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed T1 | 68c | 1,470$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed T1 | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked T1 | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed T1 | 69c | 1,232$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed T1 | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked T1 | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed T1 | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed T1 | 66c | 945.18$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.65 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 937$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.16 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 920$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 604.7$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…1561backed T1 | 54c | 428.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed T1 | 67c | 420$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed T1 | 66c | 402.82$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed T1 | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked T1 | 69c | 362.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked T1 | 69c | 323.19$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 181.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed T1 | 69c | 170.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked BNK FEARX | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…2ee0backed T1 | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed T1 | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 143.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 122.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 118.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed T1 | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed T1 | 67c | 103.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed T1 | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 95.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…2854backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 90.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 86.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 83.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…8e14backed T1 | 68c | 77.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed T1 | 68c | 73.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…7269backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 72.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed T1 | 69c | 69.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked T1 | 40c | 62.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked T1 | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…dd65backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 58.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed T1 | 75c | 53.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…72a2backed T1 | 69c | 45.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked T1 | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…aeb1backed T1 | 57c | 31.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed T1 | 35c | 30.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked T1 | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed T1 | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.