TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,387 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX45c959.37$430 inWon+$529.33,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed T155c701.82$386 inLost-$3861735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BNK FEARX45c271.58$123 inWon+$148.661,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9185…1b0dbacked T155c183.31$101 inLost-$100.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed T155c100$55 inLost-$54.72317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed T155c90.8$50 inLost-$5028643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed29…3024backed T156c89.29$50 inLost-$5015927%43 W · 116 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9e…0587backed T154c88.27$48 inLost-$48.021520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed BNK FEARX45c30$14 inWon+$16.384748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed T155c24.86$14 inLost-$13.648156.8%46 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.